Lorient crestMonaco crest

Lorient v Monaco bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:15 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Monaco or draw

    74% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.35 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 56% chance all land
1.78

The model puts this 2-leg build at 56% combined for Lorient v Monaco. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 73% 1.27 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 69% 1.33 +
  • Lorient or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.77 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Kone Lorient
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Kone: 1.17 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Makengo Lorient
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Makengo: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Idumbo-Muzambo Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Idumbo-Muzambo: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Kone Lorient
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Kone: 1.17 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • Monaco under 2.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Lorient under 6 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Lorient over 2.5 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Lorient or Monaco (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 80% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Monaco under 6.5 corners 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Monaco or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 78% market 1xBet
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Monaco over 3.5 corners 78% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.