Cesena vs Avellino Prediction
Full time 1-1
Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:15 Serie BFull time. The result is on the record.
1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Cesena 42%
Draw 26%
Avellino 32%
The read
The deskCesena's home form has gone stale: D D D L D across their last five at the Manuzzi, four draws and a loss, no wins, even though the head-to-head record with Avellino still reads 3 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win across the last six meetings. That gap between old history and current form is the whole story here. Avellino arrive 6th in the table against Cesena's 11th, and their away form is streaky rather than solid, 2 wins and 3 losses with zero draws in the last five, so they are not landing on level results either. No fresh injury or suspension news surfaced for either side in the 48 hours before kickoff; previews from Bottadiculo and PianetaSerieB have both Alessandro Diamanti's Cesena and Alessandro Nesta's Avellino naming close to full-strength sides. The angle is that Cesena's recent home draws and the overall home-or-draw lean in the head-to-head make the double chance the one market the evidence actually supports, while an outright Cesena win is fighting the current trend, not just the price. Call: hold the lean toward Cesena or draw, drop any outright home-win read.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProCesena's last 5 at home read D D D L D, four draws and a loss, zero wins; the last 6 meetings with Avellino have gone 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away win, so 5 of 6 were already home-win-or-draw.
Cesena's home games have been tight rather than open, 4 draws and a loss in the last 5 (D D D L D), and the h2h leans the same way, 5 of the last 6 meetings finished home win or draw.
Same shape as the BTTS read: Cesena's home form is draw-heavy and low-event (D D D L D), and Avellino's away form is win-or-lose rather than open, 2 wins and 3 losses with zero draws in the last 5.
Avellino sit 6th in the table against Cesena's 11th, and their away form is decisive, 2 wins and 3 losses with no draws in the last 5, rather than a side that just scrapes points.
Cesena have not won at home in their last 5 (D D D L D), zero wins, while Avellino arrive in better league shape, 6th against Cesena's 11th.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 07:42. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Research confirms the home read: Cesena's home form is draw-heavy (D D D L D) and the h2h backs it (5 of the last 6 meetings were home win or draw), while no team news moved the picture either way.
“Cesena are winless at home in five; Avellino, the better side, still can't be backed outright.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 2.25 | 44% | |
| Draw | 3.25 | 31% | |
| Avellino win | 3.30 | 30% | |
| Cesena or draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Avellino or draw | 1.62 | 62% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 49% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 | 57% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeCesena
DLDDDW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost. 7 scored, 8 conceded.
v US Avellino
1-1
Drew
at Benevento
0-2
Lost
at Juve Stabia
1-1
Drew
v Cremonese
2-2
Drew
v Mantova
1-1
Drew
at Virtus Entella
2-1
Won
Avellino
DWLDWW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 11 scored, 6 conceded.
at Cesena
1-1
Drew
v Sampdoria
4-1
Won
at Ascoli
1-3
Lost
v Palermo
1-1
Drew
at Modena
1-0
Won
v Vicenza Virtus
3-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Cesena v Avellino: the numbers
Always freeCesenaAvellino
11League position8
1-4-1League record, won-drawn-lost3-1-2
7-8Goals for and against11-7
7Points10
0-3-0Home record v away record1-0-1
1.20Scored a game1.80
1.30Conceded a game1.20
15%Clean sheets33%
17%Failed to score21%
62%Both teams scored43%
0%Over 2.5 goals33%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Cesena v Avellino: head to head
Always freeAvellino v Cesena
3-1
Cesena v Avellino
3-0
Avellino v Cesena
1-1
Cesena v Avellino
3-1
Avellino v Cesena
1-1
Cesena v Avellino
3-0
Cesena vs Avellino: FAQs
Always freeCesena vs Avellino prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 2.05. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Cesena vs Avellino kick off?
Cesena vs Avellino kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:15 UK time (Serie B).
What are the best odds for Cesena vs Avellino?
The best prices across the books we track: Cesena 2.25, the draw 3.25, Avellino 3.30. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Cesena and Avellino in?
Cesena have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D L D D D W, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Avellino have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D W L D W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 6.
What is the head to head between Cesena and Avellino?
In their last 6 meetings on our record, Cesena won 3, Avellino won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 31 Jan 2026, finished Avellino 3-1 Cesena.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.