Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.74 +Philadelphia Union58% the model
Home form DWWWW.
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1.72 +
Over 2.5 Goals
58% the modelAvg 3.3 goals/game expected.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, 34% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 72% 1.31 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.73 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 50% 2.04 +
- Philadelphia Union (first half) First Half 50% 2.03 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Iloski Philadelphia UnionShots on target 1+
M. Iloski: 1.45 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Cavan Sullivan Philadelphia UnionShots on target 1+
Cavan Sullivan: 1.00 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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P. Miller New England RevolutionShots on target 1+
P. Miller: 1.19 shots on target a game over 26 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Carles Gil New England RevolutionShots on target 1+
Carles Gil: 0.93 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Turgeman New England RevolutionShots on target 1+
D. Turgeman: 0.89 shots on target a game over 28 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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B. Damiani Philadelphia UnionShots on target 1+
B. Damiani: 0.66 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Iloski Philadelphia UnionAnytime scorer
M. Iloski: 0.62 goals a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 1.40 a game
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M. Iloski Philadelphia UnionShots on target 2+
M. Iloski: 1.45 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Langoni New England RevolutionShots on target 1+
L. Langoni: 0.65 shots on target a game over 20 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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B. Raines New England RevolutionTo be carded
B. Raines (Midfielder) on 0.38 yellows/match (26 apps), pos-mult 1.20
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners 45%Corners: Philadelphia Union avg 5.4 for/2.4 against, New England Revolution avg 5.5 for/7.1 against so expected 10.3 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Philadelphia Union avg 5.4 for/2.4 against, New England Revolution avg 5.5 for/7.1 against so expected 10.3 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 57%Cards: Philadelphia Union avg 2.6/game, New England Revolution avg 1.4/game so expected 4.0 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%Cards: Philadelphia Union avg 2.6/game, New England Revolution avg 1.4/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 54%Fouls: Philadelphia Union avg 16.9/game, New England Revolution avg 8.3/game so expected 25.2 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Philadelphia Union avg 16.9/game, New England Revolution avg 8.3/game so expected 25.2 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 66%Shots: Philadelphia Union avg 16.9/game, New England Revolution avg 12.0/game so expected 28.9 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Philadelphia Union avg 16.9/game, New England Revolution avg 12.0/game so expected 28.9 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill1.20 +
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Philadelphia Union under 3 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Under 4.5 goals 79% market BetVictor1.29 +
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New England Revolution over 0.5 goals 77% market BetVictor1.33 +
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Under 2 first half goals 76% market BetVictor1.33 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 75% market William Hill1.33 +
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Over 2.5 goals 73% market BetVictor1.40 +
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Under 4 goals 72% market Marathon Bet1.38 +
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Philadelphia Union over 1.5 goals 71% market BetVictor1.44 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 69% market William Hill1.44 +
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New England Revolution under 1.5 goals 69% market BetVictor1.44 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.