Monaco crestSC Freiburg crest

Monaco v SC Freiburg bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 · Europa Conference League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Monaco or Draw

    73% the model

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home avoid defeat 100% of games.

    1.37 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals

    62% the model

    Avg 4.5 goals/game expected.

    1.61 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 45% chance all land
2.20

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Monaco v SC Freiburg, 45% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 2.5 Goals 59% 1.64 +
  • SC Freiburg or Draw Double Chance 59% 1.68 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Paris Josua Brunner Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    Paris Josua Brunner: 1.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Paris Josua Brunner Monaco
    Shots on target 2+

    Paris Josua Brunner: 1.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Idumbo-Muzambo Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Idumbo-Muzambo: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • SC Freiburg under 2 goals 84% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Monaco over 0.5 goals 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Under 4 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Monaco under 2.5 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Monaco or SC Freiburg (double chance) 79% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • SC Freiburg over 0.5 goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Monaco or Draw (double chance) 74% market 1xBet
    1.38 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.