Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction
In play 2-071'
Sunday 18 October 2026, 12:30 2. BundesligaKicked off. The result lands on the record.
1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Dynamo Dresden 30%
Draw 26%
1. FC Magdeburg 45%
The read
The deskDresden arrive in miserable overall form, D L D L L across their last five, and the club's own reporting after the 1-1 draw at Osnabruck on 11 October flagged a struggling attack, with only returning goalkeeper Lennart Grill drawing praise after his first competitive appearance in 314 days following a serious knee injury. Strip out the venue, though, and the picture changes: Dresden have won three of their last five at home, and across the last nine meetings with Magdeburg this fixture has produced four home wins and four draws against just one Magdeburg win away. Magdeburg sit fourth to Dresden's sixteenth and arrive with better underlying form, W D W L W, but their own away form is only D L W W L, and no specific absences surfaced in a search of recent reporting for either side. The model's own board backs a tight match over a shootout: BTTS Yes rates far above Over 2.5, pointing to goals shared rather than goals piled up. The call is Dynamo Dresden or Draw: the venue history and the home-form trend outweigh the table gap, with the away win kept as a live but slip-benched read rather than a staple.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProLast 9 h2h here: Dresden 4 wins, 4 draws, Magdeburg just 1 win; Dresden's home form last 5 is L L W W W, 3 straight home wins before this sequence; model rates this 67% at 1.46.
Model board splits goals sharply: BTTS Yes 73% against Over 2.5 only 42%, pointing to shared-but-capped scoring; Dresden last 5 D L D L L and Magdeburg W D W L W both show enough goals conceded to keep two-way scoring live.
Model rates this 74% at 1.28; Dresden's attack was reported struggling after the 1-1 at Osnabruck on 11 October (volksstimme.de), and the pack's own specials show books pricing each side alone scoring 4+ as near impossible, team totals home and away Under 4.5 both at 99% implied.
Magdeburg sit 4th to Dresden's 16th and arrive on W D W L W; model rates the away win 43% at 2.56.
Model's own board rates Over 2.5 at only 42%, well under BTTS Yes's 73%, pointing to shared scoring in a capped game rather than a shootout; draws make up 4 of the last 9 h2h meetings here, typically the low-scoring result; Dresden's attack was flagged as struggling after the 1-1 at Osnabruck (volksstimme.de, 11 Oct).
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 02:30. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Team news (Dresden's reported struggling attack after the Osnabruck draw) and a draw-heavy head to head both back the same tight, low-goal picture the model's board already shows. Nothing in the research moves the number, but at 1.28 it stays a read, not a slip staple.
“Table gap favors Magdeburg, but venue history and recent home form side with Dresden.”
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden win | 2.45 | 41% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% | |
| 1. FC Magdeburg win | 2.60 | 38% | |
| Dynamo Dresden or draw | 1.53 | 65% | |
| 1. FC Magdeburg or draw | 1.50 | 67% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 65% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 | 67% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeDynamo Dresden
DLDLLW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 9 scored, 12 conceded.
at VfL Osnabruck
1-1
Drew
v Hertha Bsc
1-2
Lost
at Eintracht Braunschweig
2-2
Drew
v VfL Bochum
1-2
Lost
at 1 FC Heidenheim 1846
3-5
Lost
v SV Darmstadt 98
1-0
Won
1. FC Magdeburg
WDWLWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 13 scored, 3 conceded.
v Hannover 96
3-0
Won
at Spvgg Greuther Fürth
1-1
Drew
v 1 Fc Kaiserslautern
3-0
Won
at Hertha Bsc
1-2
Lost
v Holstein Kiel
2-0
Won
at VfL Osnabruck
3-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg: the numbers
Always freeDynamo Dresden1. FC Magdeburg
17League position6
1-2-4League record, won-drawn-lost4-1-2
9-15Goals for and against14-9
5Points13
1-0-2Home record v away record1-1-1
1.30Scored a game2.00
2.10Conceded a game1.30
14%Clean sheets57%
14%Failed to score14%
57%Both teams scored43%
14%Over 2.5 goals43%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg: head to head
Always free1. FC Magdeburg v Dynamo Dresden
1-2
Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg
1-2
Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg
2-2
FC Magdeburg v Dynamo Dresden
0-1
Dynamo Dresden v FC Magdeburg
1-0
Dynamo Dresden v FC Magdeburg
1-1
FC Magdeburg v Dynamo Dresden
2-2
FC Magdeburg v Dynamo Dresden
2-2
Dynamo Dresden v FC Magdeburg
3-2
The full Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head history
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg: FAQs
Always freeDynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is BTTS: Yes at 1.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg kick off?
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:30 UK time (2. Bundesliga).
What are the best odds for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The best prices across the books we track: Dynamo Dresden 2.45, the draw 3.60, 1. FC Magdeburg 2.60. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg in?
Dynamo Dresden have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (D L D L L W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 12. 1. FC Magdeburg have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W L W W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 3.
What is the head to head between Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg?
In their last 9 meetings on our record, Dynamo Dresden won 4, 1. FC Magdeburg won 1 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 24 Jan 2026, finished 1. FC Magdeburg 1-2 Dynamo Dresden.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.