Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:30 Ekstraklasa1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Lech Poznan 61%
Draw 23%
Korona Kielce 16%
The read
The deskLech Poznan have won every one of their last five at home and dominate the head to head, making them clear favourites against a Korona side sitting well below them in the table. The catch is a quick turnaround from a midweek Europa League match and a squad missing several attacking options, making the scoreline less certain than the result.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeLech PoznanAli Gholizadeh: out, long-term · Alex Douglas: unavailable · Allahyar Sayyadmanesh: unavailable · Joao Moutinho: unavailable · Patrik Walemark: fitness doubt
Korona KielceNo absences found.
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 12:38.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe h2h is one-sided, 7 Lech wins and 2 draws against just 1 Korona win in 10, and Lech's home run is a spotless 5 from 5, pointing to one-sided scorelines rather than shared goals; Korona have lost 2 of their last 5 away.
“Lech's perfect home run and a lopsided h2h outweigh Korona's decent away form and a Bayer hangover”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan win | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Draw | 4.20 | 24% | |
| Korona Kielce win | 5.25 | 19% | |
| Lech Poznan or draw | 1.15 | 87% | |
| Korona Kielce or draw | 2.62 | 38% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
16 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeLech Poznan
LWWLLW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 11 scored, 12 conceded.
v Bayer Leverkusen
0-4
Lost
at Slask Wroclaw
4-1
Won
v Radomiak Radom
5-1
Won
at Crystal Palace
0-4
Lost
at Gornik Zabrze
1-2
Lost
v Rakow Czestochowa
1-0
Won
Korona Kielce
LWLWDW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 8 scored, 8 conceded.
at Pogon Szczecin
0-2
Lost
v Rakow Czestochowa
3-2
Won
v Gornik Zabrze
0-2
Lost
at Slask Wroclaw
2-1
Won
v Wisla Krakow
1-1
Drew
at Wisla Plock
2-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce: the numbers
Always freeLech PoznanKorona Kielce
2League position8
7-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost4-3-3
21-8Goals for and against12-12
22Points15
4-1-0Home record v away record3-0-2
2.30Scored a game1.20
0.90Conceded a game1.20
33%Clean sheets10%
11%Failed to score30%
52%Both teams scored61%
44%Over 2.5 goals10%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce: head to head
Always freeKorona Kielce v Lech Poznan
1-2
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce
1-1
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce
2-0
Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan
2-3
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce
1-2
Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan
0-1
Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan
0-3
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce
3-2
Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan
0-3
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce
0-0
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce: FAQs
Always freeLech Poznan vs Korona Kielce prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Lech Poznan to win at 1.53. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce kick off?
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 UK time (Ekstraklasa).
What are the best odds for Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
The best prices across the books we track: Lech Poznan 1.53, the draw 4.20, Korona Kielce 5.25. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
Lech Poznan: Ali Gholizadeh: out, long-term, Alex Douglas: unavailable, Allahyar Sayyadmanesh: unavailable, Joao Moutinho: unavailable, Patrik Walemark: fitness doubt. Korona Kielce: no absences found.
What form are Lech Poznan and Korona Kielce in?
Lech Poznan have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L W W L L W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 12. Korona Kielce have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L W L W D W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 8.
What is the head to head between Lech Poznan and Korona Kielce?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Lech Poznan won 7, Korona Kielce won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 22 Feb 2026, finished Korona Kielce 1-2 Lech Poznan.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.