Guadalajara Chivas crestNecaxa crest

Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa bet builder

Wednesday 21 October 2026, 01:07 · Liga MX

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Guadalajara Chivas or draw

    80%+ the model

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Guadalajara Chivas or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa, 79% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
  • Guadalajara Chivas Home Win 65% 1.38 +
  • Guadalajara Chivas (first half) First Half 56% 1.81 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.68 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Carranza Necaxa
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Carranza: 1.36 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Carranza Necaxa
    Anytime scorer

    J. Carranza: 0.64 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 2.10 a game

  • Santiago Sandoval Guadalajara Chivas
    Shots on target 1+

    Santiago Sandoval: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Alvarado Guadalajara Chivas
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Alvarado: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 3 games (260 min), 38% weight

  • R. Marín Guadalajara Chivas
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Marín: 0.42 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Martínez Necaxa
    To be carded

    R. Martínez (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Guadalajara Chivas under 3.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Necaxa under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Guadalajara Chivas under 3 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Over 8.5 corners 75% market 1xBet
    1.34 +
  • Necaxa under 4.5 corners 75% market 1xBet
    1.33 +
  • Under 4 goals 74% market BetVictor
    1.36 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.