Falkirk crestKilmarnock crest

Falkirk v Kilmarnock bet builder

Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Falkirk or draw

    77% the model

    Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.30 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 68% chance all land
1.48

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Falkirk v Kilmarnock, 68% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 80%+ 1.17 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 63% 1.44 +
  • Kilmarnock or Draw Double Chance 52% 1.92 +
  • Falkirk Home Win 50% 1.82 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Hugill Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Hugill: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Tshibola Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Tshibola: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Kiltie Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Kiltie: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Krauhaus Falkirk
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Krauhaus: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 48%
    Corners: Falkirk avg 4.3 for/5.4 against, Kilmarnock avg 4.7 for/6.6 against so expected 10.5 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 72%
    Corners: Falkirk avg 4.3 for/5.4 against, Kilmarnock avg 4.7 for/6.6 against so expected 10.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: Falkirk avg 2.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 1.9/game so expected 4.0 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Falkirk avg 2.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 1.9/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 67%
    Fouls: Falkirk avg 15.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.8/game so expected 26.9 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Falkirk avg 15.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.8/game so expected 26.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 36%
    Shots: Falkirk avg 10.7/game, Kilmarnock avg 10.3/game so expected 21.0 match shots
  • Over 16.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Falkirk avg 10.7/game, Kilmarnock avg 10.3/game so expected 21.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Falkirk or Draw (double chance) 81% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Falkirk or Kilmarnock (double chance) 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Falkirk under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.