Malaga v Real Sociedad bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.40 +
Real Sociedad or draw
71% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 54% combined for Malaga v Real Sociedad. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
- Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.19 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.47 +
- Malaga or Draw Double Chance 61% 1.65 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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David Larrubia MalagaShots on target 1+
David Larrubia: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Chupe MalagaShots on target 1+
Chupe: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Carlos Dotor MalagaShots on target 1+
Carlos Dotor: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners 52%Corners: Malaga avg 6.3 for/4.7 against, Real Sociedad avg 6.6 for/4.1 against so expected 10.8 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 75%Corners: Malaga avg 6.3 for/4.7 against, Real Sociedad avg 6.6 for/4.1 against so expected 10.8 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 54%Cards: Malaga avg 2.5/game, Real Sociedad avg 2.4/game so expected 4.9 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Malaga avg 2.5/game, Real Sociedad avg 2.4/game so expected 4.9 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 48%Fouls: Malaga avg 12.2/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.3/game so expected 24.5 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%Fouls: Malaga avg 12.2/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.3/game so expected 24.5 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 51%Shots: Malaga avg 11.7/game, Real Sociedad avg 13.1/game so expected 24.8 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Malaga avg 11.7/game, Real Sociedad avg 13.1/game so expected 24.8 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game build one leg a market, live prices
3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.
Market singles
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Over 1.5 goals 85% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Under 4 goals 84% market BetVictor1.25 +
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Under 2 first half goals 84% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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Malaga over 3 corners 84% market 1xBet1.19 +
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Under 11.5 shots on target 84% market 1xBet1.19 +
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Malaga under 2 goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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Over 6.5 shots on target 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Over 7.5 corners 83% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Under 12 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Malaga under 6.5 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.22 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.