Sandefjord v Lillestrom bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:00 · Eliteserien

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Sandefjord or draw

66% the model

Our board prices this at 66%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.51 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 58% chance all land

1.73

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Sandefjord v Lillestrom, 58% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.23 +
Lillestrom or Draw Double Chance 67% 1.49 +
Under 3.5 Goals 59% 1.56 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

N. Möller Sandefjord

Shots on target 1+

N. Möller: 0.93 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Dunsby Sandefjord

Shots on target 1+

J. Dunsby: 0.88 shots on target a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
T. Lehne Olsen Lillestrom

Shots on target 1+

T. Lehne Olsen: 0.88 shots on target a game over 16 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
M. Karlsbakk Lillestrom

Shots on target 1+

M. Karlsbakk: 0.80 shots on target a game over 15 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
E. Patoulidis Sandefjord

Shots on target 1+

E. Patoulidis: 0.64 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
S. Drammeh Lillestrom

Shots on target 1+

S. Drammeh: 0.67 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Vá Lillestrom

Shots on target 1+

Vá: 0.55 shots on target a game over 22 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 11.5 Match Corners 42%
Corners: Sandefjord avg 4.8 for/5.9 against, Lillestrom avg 6.2 for/5.2 against so expected 11.0 match corners
Over 8.5 Match Corners 77%
Corners: Sandefjord avg 4.8 for/5.9 against, Lillestrom avg 6.2 for/5.2 against so expected 11.0 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 40%
Cards: Sandefjord avg 2.1/game, Lillestrom avg 2.1/game so expected 4.2 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 78%
Cards: Sandefjord avg 2.1/game, Lillestrom avg 2.1/game so expected 4.2 match cards; the safer line
Over 22.5 Match Fouls 48%
Fouls: Sandefjord avg 11.2/game, Lillestrom avg 11.2/game so expected 22.4 match fouls
Over 18.5 Match Fouls 79%
Fouls: Sandefjord avg 11.2/game, Lillestrom avg 11.2/game so expected 22.4 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 53%
Shots: Sandefjord avg 13.2/game, Lillestrom avg 13.9/game so expected 27.1 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Sandefjord avg 13.2/game, Lillestrom avg 13.9/game so expected 27.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet365
1.20 +
Sandefjord under 2.5 goals 85% market Bet365
1.22 +
Lillestrom under 2.5 goals 85% market Bet365
1.20 +
Sandefjord over 3.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
1.18 +
Sandefjord under 7.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
1.18 +
Over 2 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
1.19 +
Over 1 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
1.23 +
Lillestrom over 3.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
1.23 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 81% market Bet365
1.28 +
Under 2 first half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
1.24 +
Over 8.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
1.26 +
Sandefjord or Lillestrom (double chance) 80% market William Hill
1.30 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.