Sandefjord vs Lillestrom Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:00 Eliteserien1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Sandefjord 32%
Draw 23%
Lillestrom 45%
The read
The deskSandefjord's last five reads D W W L D, with home form specifically dropping to W D D L L, two defeats in their last two at Jotun Arena. Lillestrom's last five is D W L L W, and their away form is L W D D L, only one win on the road in that spread. No named absences surfaced in search for either side, so this reads purely off the pack's numbers and the table positions, Lillestrom 6th and Sandefjord 12th. The head to head strongly favours the visitors, 6 wins to 3 across the last ten with just a single draw, which is the strongest signal on the board. The angle is that both sides are mid-table in form rather than goals, so the over 2.5 price at 1.58 is the trap: neither home form nor away form at the moment looks like it produces a shootout. The call is to hold the model's lean toward Lillestrom or the draw rather than chase goals, because the evidence, table gap, head to head, and both teams' guarded recent form, points at a low event game rather than a high scoring one.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProLillestrom sit 6th, Sandefjord 12th, and Lillestrom have won 6 of the last 10 h2h against 3 Sandefjord wins. Sandefjord's last 5 overall is D W W L D and their home form drops to W D D L L, two defeats in the last two at home.
Lillestrom are 6th against Sandefjord's 12th and have taken 6 of the last 10 h2h meetings. Away form is mixed (L W D D L) but the table gap and head to head both favour the visitors.
Sandefjord's last 5 overall (D W W L D) and Lillestrom's (D W L L W) both show goals at each end rather than clean sheets piling up, and neither side's recent form reads as a shutout team.
Only 1 of the last 10 h2h meetings was a draw, and Sandefjord's home form (W D D L L) and Lillestrom's away form (L W D D L) each carry two draws apiece, which is the one data point running against a decisive result.
The trap here is backing the goals rush at 1.58: Sandefjord's home form is W D D L L, three of the last five without a win and two defeats, and Lillestrom's away form is L W D D L, only one win in five on the road. Neither side's recent run supports a shootout.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 07:32. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Research confirms the table gap (6th v 12th) and the 6-3-1 head to head lean toward Lillestrom, but Sandefjord's home form carrying two draws in five keeps the draw live and the over 2.5 trap killed on both sides' recent scoring runs.
“Lillestrom have won 6 of the last 10 h2h, but neither side is scoring freely right now”
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord win | 2.50 | 40% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% | |
| Lillestrom win | 2.50 | 40% | |
| Sandefjord or draw | 1.50 | 67% | |
| Lillestrom or draw | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 64% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 | 67% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeSandefjord
LDWLDD
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 7 scored, 7 conceded.
v Lillestrom
0-2
Lost
at Rosenborg
1-1
Drew
v Start
3-0
Won
at Bodo/glimt
2-3
Lost
v Viking FK
1-1
Drew
v SK Brann
0-0
Drew
Lillestrom
WDDLLW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 8 scored, 8 conceded.
at Sandefjord
2-0
Won
at Sparta Praha
1-1
Drew
v Molde
2-2
Drew
at Viking FK
0-3
Lost
v Torreense
1-2
Lost
v Vålerenga
2-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Sandefjord v Lillestrom: the numbers
Always freeSandefjordLillestrom
12League position6
6-6-10League record, won-drawn-lost10-3-9
22-28Goals for and against30-31
24Points33
3-5-3Home record v away record5-2-4
1.00Scored a game1.40
1.30Conceded a game1.40
1.03xG for a game1.50
27%Clean sheets27%
32%Failed to score32%
52%Both teams scored46%
4%Over 2.5 goals18%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Sandefjord v Lillestrom: head to head
Always freeLillestrom v Sandefjord
3-1
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
1-2
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
0-3
Sandefjord v Lillestrom
0-1
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
2-2
Sandefjord v Lillestrom
1-0
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
4-2
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
2-1
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
3-0
Sandefjord v Lillestrom
1-4
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom: FAQs
Always freeSandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is BTTS: Yes at 1.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Sandefjord vs Lillestrom kick off?
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 UK time (Eliteserien).
What are the best odds for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
The best prices across the books we track: Sandefjord 2.50, the draw 3.60, Lillestrom 2.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Sandefjord and Lillestrom in?
Sandefjord have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L D W L D D, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Lillestrom have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W D D L L W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 8.
What is the head to head between Sandefjord and Lillestrom?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Sandefjord won 3, Lillestrom won 6 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 16 May 2026, finished Lillestrom 3-1 Sandefjord.
Recent singles, graded
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Sat 17 Oct
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1.65
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.