Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 Europa Conference League1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Ajax 47%
Draw 24%
Atalanta 29%
The read
The deskAtalanta sit fourth in the table against an Ajax side down in 25th, and the head to head favours the Italians even without a win in two. Expect a cagey night where the away class shows but goals stay hard to come by, so lean away or draw rather than chasing a home upset.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeAjaxSteven Berghuis: knock · Caio Henrique: fitness issue listed
AtalantaOdilon Kossounou: thigh problem
Checked Mon 19 Oct, 02:51.
The research
ProAjax's home form (2W 2D 1L in five) looks inviting at 2.88, but they sit 25th in the table against Atalanta's 4th, and the last two meetings between these sides have produced zero Ajax wins.
“Atalanta's class advantage and poor Ajax table spot point away, but goals stay tight underneath.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax win | 2.05 | 49% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% | |
| Atalanta win | 3.10 | 32% | |
| Ajax or draw | 1.35 | 74% | |
| Atalanta or draw | 1.73 | 58% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.25 | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 62% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
13 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Recent form
Always freeAjax
WLDDWW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 19 scored, 9 conceded.
at FC Groningen
5-2
Won
at HNK Hajduk Split
1-2
Lost
v NEC Nijmegen
1-1
Drew
v Excelsior
2-2
Drew
v Willem II
5-1
Won
at Fortuna Sittard
5-1
Won
Atalanta
LWWLLL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. 10 scored, 11 conceded.
at AC Milan
2-3
Lost
v Pafos
3-1
Won
v Venezia
3-1
Won
at Juventus
0-2
Lost
v Cagliari
1-2
Lost
at AS Roma
1-2
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Ajax v Atalanta: the numbers
Always freeAjaxAtalanta
25League position4
5-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost2-1-0
23-12Goals for and against4-1
0Points3
3-0-0Home record v away record1-0-0
3.30Scored a game1.30
1.70Conceded a game0.30
29%Clean sheets67%
8%Failed to score33%
71%Both teams scored56%
71%Over 2.5 goals33%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Ajax v Atalanta: head to head
Always freeOnly 2 meetings on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Ajax v Atalanta
0-1
Atalanta v Ajax
2-2
Ajax vs Atalanta: FAQs
Always freeAjax vs Atalanta prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.62. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Ajax vs Atalanta kick off?
Ajax vs Atalanta kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Europa Conference League).
What are the best odds for Ajax vs Atalanta?
The best prices across the books we track: Ajax 2.05, the draw 3.60, Atalanta 3.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Ajax vs Atalanta?
Ajax: Steven Berghuis: knock, Caio Henrique: fitness issue listed. Atalanta: Odilon Kossounou: thigh problem.
What form are Ajax and Atalanta in?
Ajax have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W L D D W W, newest first), scoring 19 and conceding 9. Atalanta have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L W W L L L, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 11.
What is the head to head between Ajax and Atalanta?
In their last 2 meetings on our record, Ajax won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 9 Dec 2020, finished Ajax 0-1 Atalanta.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
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1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
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Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fluminense v Santos
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Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
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-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.