Atlas crestClub America crest

Atlas v Club America bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 02:00 · Liga MX

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Club America or draw

    73% the model

    Our board prices this at 73%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.37 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 68% chance all land
1.46

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Atlas v Club America, 68% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.19 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.40 +
  • Atlas or Draw Double Chance 59% 1.66 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • B. Rodríguez Club America
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Rodríguez: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (33 min), 7% weight

  • H. Martín Club America
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Martín: 1.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Monzón Atlas
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Monzón: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Raphael Veiga Club America
    Shots on target 1+

    Raphael Veiga: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Duk Atlas
    Shots on target 1+

    Duk: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Luís Esteves Atlas
    Shots on target 1+

    Luís Esteves: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Mmaee Atlas
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Mmaee: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Rodríguez Club America
    Shots on target 2+

    B. Rodríguez: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (33 min), 7% weight

  • I. Violante Club America
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Violante: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Capasso Atlas
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Capasso: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Martín Club America
    Shots on target 2+

    H. Martín: 1.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 55%
    Corners: Atlas avg 7.0 for/7.6 against, Club America avg 5.0 for/4.7 against so expected 12.1 match corners
  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Atlas avg 7.0 for/7.6 against, Club America avg 5.0 for/4.7 against so expected 12.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 50%
    Cards: Atlas avg 2.0/game, Club America avg 1.7/game so expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Atlas avg 2.0/game, Club America avg 1.7/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 49%
    Fouls: Atlas avg 13.2/game, Club America avg 11.3/game so expected 24.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%
    Fouls: Atlas avg 13.2/game, Club America avg 11.3/game so expected 24.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 68%
    Shots: Atlas avg 11.8/game, Club America avg 17.3/game so expected 29.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Atlas avg 11.8/game, Club America avg 17.3/game so expected 29.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1.5 goals 85% market BetVictor
    1.20 +
  • Club America under 2.5 goals 83% market BetVictor
    1.20 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Atlas or Club America (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 2 goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.34 +
  • Club America over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Club America or Draw (double chance) 77% market BetVictor
    1.33 +
  • Atlas over 0.5 goals 77% market BetVictor
    1.30 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Atlas under 1.5 goals 68% market BetVictor
    1.47 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.