Aston Villa vs Viking Prediction
Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00 Champions League1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Aston Villa 70%
Draw 17%
Viking 13%
The read
The deskAston Villa, third in the table, host a Viking side that has won just once in its last five away days, and the home attack should have far more room than the Under crowd expects. The firm call here is goals, not the result, since Villa's price is too short to be worth backing outright.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeAston VillaRuggeri: out, hamstring, expected back after the November international break · Hemmings: knee issue, doubtful · Madjo: not included in the Champions League squad
VikingNo absences found.
Checked Sun 18 Oct, 18:22.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe trap: Viking sit 27th, which reads like a cagey, low-scoring away day, but the model gives Under 2.5 only 25% at 3.31. Villa's overall form is WWDWW and Viking's away form is WLDDL, 1 win in 5, not the shape of a side that holds a game under 2.5.
“Villa's attack and Viking's leaky away form point at goals, with the home win too short to back.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa win | 70% | 1.25 | 80% |
| Draw | 17% | 6.50 | 15% |
| Viking win | 13% | 11.00 | 9% |
| Aston Villa or draw | 1.06 | 94% | |
| Viking or draw | 30% | 4.00 | 25% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.12 | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 75% |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
12 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeAston Villa
WWDWWL
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 16 scored, 7 conceded.
at Newcastle United
1-0
Won
v Fenerbahce
6-0
Won
v Brentford
2-2
Drew
at Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
Won
at Coventry City
3-1
Won
v Nottingham Forest
1-2
Lost
Viking
WDWWWL
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 20 scored, 9 conceded.
v Fredrikstad
3-2
Won
v Bayern Munich
3-3
Drew
at SK Brann
2-0
Won
v Lillestrom
3-0
Won
v Kristiansund BK
8-1
Won
at VFB Stuttgart
1-3
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Aston Villa v Viking: the numbers
Always freeAston VillaViking
3League position27
2-0-0League record, won-drawn-lost0-1-1
9-2Goals for and against4-6
6Points1
1-0-0Home record v away record0-0-1
4.50Scored a game2.00
1.00Conceded a game3.00
1.21xG for a game2.36
24%Clean sheets28%
26%Failed to score4%
58%Both teams scored68%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Aston Villa v Viking: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: Aston Villa and Viking have not played each other in the record we hold.
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Aston Villa vs Viking: FAQs
Always freeAston Villa vs Viking prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Aston Villa to win at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Aston Villa vs Viking kick off?
Aston Villa vs Viking kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).
What are the best odds for Aston Villa vs Viking?
The best prices across the books we track: Aston Villa 1.25, the draw 6.50, Viking 11.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Aston Villa: Ruggeri: out, hamstring, expected back after the November international break, Hemmings: knee issue, doubtful, Madjo: not included in the Champions League squad. Viking: no absences found.
What form are Aston Villa and Viking in?
Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W D W W L, newest first), scoring 16 and conceding 7. Viking have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W W W L, newest first), scoring 20 and conceding 9.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fiorentina v Como
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Plymouth v Huddersfield
1.65
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Swansea v West Ham
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.