market favourite Gornik Zabrze 1.55 65% implied
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Table gap flatters Gornik; home form is mixed, so expect control more than a rout.
Sunday 18 October 2026. 59 games. The model's number on every game in the leagues with a public record, and the market's prices on the rest.
Our singles, graded in public: 33 graded, 19 landed, every one listed. The record
market favourite Gornik Zabrze 1.55 65% implied
Table gap flatters Gornik; home form is mixed, so expect control more than a rout.
market favourite GO Ahead Eagles 1.91 52% implied
PEC winless in five at home; Go Ahead Eagles unbeaten in five but draw too much to back.
the model's favourite Udinese 51% 1.80
Udinese's home form is colder than their price; Lecce arrive hot, a tight low-scorer suits both
market favourite Kasımpaşa 2.30 43% implied
Kasımpaşa's draw-heavy home form and Samsunspor's gutted attack favor the hosts not losing
market favourite Arminia Bielefeld 1.85 54% implied
Bielefeld have lost just once in the last ten h2h meetings and are unbeaten in five at home
market favourite Dynamo Dresden 2.45 41% implied
Table gap favors Magdeburg, but venue history and recent home form side with Dresden.
market favourite Karlsruher SC 2.20 45% implied
Karlsruhe's home rot and Darmstadt's road slump point to goals, not to Karlsruhe quietly not losing
market favourite FC Nordsjaelland 1.75 57% implied
Lyngby winless in five at home and 1-10 in this fixture; Nordsjaelland travel as outright favourites
market favourite Oviedo 2.38 42% implied
Bottom-table Ceuta host a shaky-away Oviedo; goals look likelier than a home insurance bet.
the model's favourite Osasuna 45% 1.95
Over 1.5 is the shape of this game; the home-draw double chance and BTTS yes are traps
market favourite Sonderjyske 2.45 41% implied
Sonderjyske's home slump and one-sided history favour Silkeborg, while goals stay scarce at both ends.
market favourite Sirius 2.15 47% implied
Table-topping Sirius look shakier at home than their position suggests; expect goals, not a routine home win.
market favourite Vasteras SK FK 2.38 42% implied
Vasteras's home form and Mjallby's five-game winless away run favor the hosts, not a H2H trap.
market favourite AZ Alkmaar 1.44 69% implied
AZ's three-game away run and a 0-10 h2h home record make this one-sided despite the short price
market favourite Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.25 44% implied
Rosenborg's table advantage is thinner than it looks; h2h and home form favour Sarpsborg or the draw.
market favourite Zaglebie Lubin 2.50 40% implied
Zagłębie's home scoring run meets a Jagiellonia side missing its main striker and a fullback
the model's favourite Brighton 61% 1.50
Brighton's home advantage survives a stripped-out front line; the trap is backing both sides to score.
the model's favourite Marseille 53% 1.95
Both sides are leaking results; goals look a safer read than either team winning it outright.
market favourite Juve Stabia 2.00 50% implied
Juve Stabia haven't won at home in five but keep drawing, not losing outright
market favourite Göztepe 2.40 42% implied
Kocaelispor's home record and Göztepe's centre-back crisis favour the hosts, though value is thin
the model's favourite Bournemouth 42% 2.10
A shorthanded Sunderland attack travels to a Bournemouth side that draws more than it wins at home
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the model's favourite Manchester United 42% 2.75
Leeds' unbeaten home run and United's threadbare back line point to goals and a Leeds point.
the model's favourite Bayer Leverkusen 55% 1.60
Table-topping Freiburg travel poorly and history says Leverkusen or a draw, not an away certainty.
market favourite Celtic 1.57 64% implied
Celtic's home run and Hearts' shaky away form point one way, not a draw.
market favourite Brondby 2.20 45% implied
Brondby's form, H2H record and fresh manager bounce make them big favourites over a shaky Odense side.
market favourite Granada CF 1.91 52% implied
Granada's shaky home form and Cadiz's winless away run point to a tight, low scoring draw
the model's favourite Celta Vigo 41% 2.20
Celta's h2h dominance and Alaves' threadbare squad make Vigo favourites, but 1.29 leaves no room.
market favourite Hammarby FF 1.22 82% implied
Table says Hammarby should win this, but the away win is priced too short to touch at 1.22
market favourite Gais 1.55 65% implied
Orgryte are winless in five at home; Gais arrive with the head to head advantage.
market favourite BK Hacken 2.40 42% implied
Hacken arrive unbeaten in 5 and above Malmo in the table; home advantage is the weak case here
market favourite Ajax 1.85 54% implied
Eight of the last ten meetings went Ajax's way; their away run says this trend holds again.
market favourite Molde 1.33 75% implied
Molde's h2h dominance and Start's road form make the home win the read, not a coin-flip BTTS.
market favourite Valerenga 2.30 43% implied
Vålerenga misfire at home without Sæter; history and form both side with Brann.
market favourite Sandefjord 2.50 40% implied
Lillestrom have won 6 of the last 10 h2h, but neither side is scoring freely right now
the model's favourite Monaco 50% 2.00
Monaco's away form and league-leading position favour them, but Lorient's draw-heavy h2h keeps this closer than the price.
market favourite Cesena 2.30 43% implied
Cesena are winless at home in five; Avellino, the better side, still can't be backed outright.
the model's favourite Le Havre 41% 2.30
Two bottom-half sides rarely draw and rarely win away, so goals look the safer read than the scoreline.
the model's favourite Paris FC 41% 2.15
Paris FC's unbeaten home run backs the goals call; BTTS looks the trap at this price.
the model's favourite Arsenal 61% 1.57
Forest's leaky home form and missing centre-backs hand Arsenal's away run the platform to win
market favourite Lech Poznan 1.53 65% implied
Lech's perfect home run and a lopsided h2h outweigh Korona's decent away form and a Bayer hangover
the model's favourite 1899 Hoffenheim 51% 2.05
Two toothless, injury-hit sides point to goals, not a winner, this weekend
market favourite FC Copenhagen 1.57 64% implied
Perfect home form meets an away side winless in five; Aarhus's double chance is the trap
the model's favourite AC Milan 56% 1.73
Milan are favourites but shaky at home; Atalanta have won half of the last ten meetings anyway.
market favourite Başakşehir 1.65 61% implied
Seven home wins in the last ten meetings and Gaziantep's poor away form favour Başakşehir outright.
market favourite Girona 1.75 57% implied
Girona's table position and healthier home form favor the hosts over a struggling Andorra side
market favourite Valladolid 1.95 51% implied
Valladolid's home advantage and Eldense's away slump point to Valladolid or draw, not a blank away bet
the model's favourite Real Sociedad 47% 2.10
Two defensively short sides meet at La Rosaleda, goals look likelier than a clean sheet
market favourite Tromso 1.40 71% implied
Tromso's home platform and KFUM's shaky away form outweigh a red-hot overall run
market favourite Sampdoria 1.80 56% implied
Sampdoria's home advantage is real, but two defensive injuries open the door for goals both ways.
market favourite Twente 1.35 74% implied
Fourth-placed Twente's hot home form against a struggling Utrecht side that wins once in five away.
market favourite NEC Nijmegen 1.67 60% implied
NEC's winless run at home says the 1.57 favourite tag is a trap.
market favourite Al-Fateh 2.15 47% implied
Two relegation-zone sides winless in five meet under a home h2h record neither can currently back
the model's favourite Juventus 59% 1.55
Lazio's away form and table gap make Juventus' home price look shorter than this game deserves
the model's favourite Lyon 51% 1.85
Lyon's home form and Nice's four absentees make this a home-controlled game, not a Nice upset.
the model's favourite Real Madrid 71% 1.22
Real Madrid's h2h and home form still rule, but four absences open the door to goals
market favourite Cruzeiro 2.30 43% implied
Cruzeiro's table advantage and h2h record make them the find; Gremio's two home wins are stale, not form.
market favourite Sabadell 2.70 37% implied
Burgos's home form and Sabadell's away draws both say double chance, not Burgos to win outright.
market favourite Flamengo 2.05 49% implied
Flamengo's 9-1 head-to-head hold and table gap outweigh Bahia's good home run.
market favourite RB Bragantino 2.10 48% implied
Remo's barren home run and a key injury favour Bragantino doing enough not to lose.
Every fixture today with the market's prices, the form and a short read. The model's number shows on leagues with a public record. Tap any game to build the full bet: form, head to head, line-ups and 30+ markets you can combine into one slip.
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