Free Premier League predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
25 Premier League matches in the next 16 days
the model's favourite Brighton 61% 1.50
Over 2.5 58% at 1.57 · Both to score 57%
Brighton out: Yankuba Minteh, Stefanos Tzimas, Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson, Femi Azeez
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Bournemouth 42% 2.10
Over 2.5 56% at 1.91 · Both to score 57%
Bournemouth out: Alex Scott, Eli Kroupi, Julian Araujo, Justin Kluivert, Veljko Milosavljevic, Amine Adli
Sunderland out: Brian Brobbey, Romaine Mundle, Dan Ballard
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Manchester United 42% 2.75
Over 2.5 51% at 1.80 · Both to score 56%
Leeds out: Joe Rodon, Mateo Joseph
Manchester United out: Benjamin Seko, Patrick Dorgu
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
The model's number is free on every game. FBB Pro adds the desk's grade on every market and the singles we'd pick ourselves. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
the model's favourite Arsenal 61% 1.57
Over 2.5 43% at 1.91 · Both to score 47%
Nottingham Forest out: Nikola Milenkovic, Igor Jesus
Arsenal out: Kai Havertz, William Saliba, Piero Hincapié, Christos Tzolis
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Tottenham 61% 1.50
Over 2.5 55% at 1.57 · Both to score 57%
Tottenham out: Vicario, Solanke, Kudus, Kulusevski, Simons, Mudryk
Coventry out: Wright, Eccles, Woolfenden, Amenda
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Nottingham Forest 46% 2.25
Over 2.5 57% at 1.80 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Manchester City 59% 1.70
Over 2.5 60% at 1.57 · Both to score 59%
the model's favourite Arsenal 64% 1.40
Over 2.5 51% at 1.80 · Both to score 50%
the model's favourite Fulham 46% 2.25
Over 2.5 52% at 1.73 · Both to score 56%
the model's favourite Chelsea 51% 1.75
Over 2.5 65% at 1.57 · Both to score 61%
the model's favourite Brentford 58% 1.70
Over 2.5 53% at 1.73 · Both to score 56%
the model's favourite Manchester United 52% 1.80
Over 2.5 68% at 1.50 · Both to score 66%
the model's favourite Liverpool 46% 2.00
Over 2.5 63% at 1.62 · Both to score 60%
the model's favourite Newcastle 43% 2.50
Over 2.5 64% at 1.67 · Both to score 67%
the model's favourite Leeds 45% 2.50
Over 2.5 45% at 2.00 · Both to score 52%
the model's favourite Chelsea 46% 2.10
Over 2.5 67% at 1.57 · Both to score 68%
the model's favourite Brentford 46% 2.05
Over 2.5 60% at 1.67 · Both to score 59%
the model's favourite Ipswich 46% 2.60
Over 2.5 57% at 1.80 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Sunderland 43% 2.50
Over 2.5 59% at 1.91 · Both to score 62%
the model's favourite Leeds 39% 2.90
Over 2.5 51% at 1.80 · Both to score 56%
Over 2.5 75% · Both to score 71%
Over 2.5 36% · Both to score 50%
Over 2.5 35% · Both to score 49%
Over 2.5 39% · Both to score 46%
Over 2.5 39% · Both to score 42%
The Premier League is the most heavily-traded football market on the planet, and that shapes how we predict it. Every kickoff, the early Saturday kick-off, a Monday Night Football six-pointer, a relegation scrap on the final day, moves prices across home/draw/away, BTTS, totals and corners within seconds of team news landing. We collect prices from the UK bookmakers we track and show the best one beside the model's number, so you can see what each price needs to land. The Premier League's depth of data also means we lean harder on expected-goals splits, recent underlying form, and head-to-head context than we do for lower-volume leagues. Below you'll find every upcoming Premier League fixture this week, with model probabilities for the match result, both-teams-to-score, and over/under 2.5 goals, alongside a form table built from the last five matches each side has played in the competition. Click any fixture for the full preview: every priced market, who is missing, the form and the head to head. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Premier League, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct |
 
Newcastle
v
Aston Villa
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 17 Oct |
 
Manchester City
v
Ipswich
Home win
|
Home win | 3-2 | Won |
| 17 Oct |
 
Everton
v
Chelsea
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-2 | Won |
| 13 Oct |
Coventry
v
Newcastle
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 4-1 | Won |
| 10 Oct |
 
Manchester United
v
Tottenham
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 1-1 | Won |
| 10 Oct |
Aston Villa
v
Brentford
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 20 Sep |
 
Leeds
v
Crystal Palace
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 19 Sep |
Tottenham
v
Aston Villa
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 2-3 | Lost |
| 19 Sep |
Brentford
v
Chelsea
Over 2.5
|
Over 2.5 | 3-0 | Won |
| 19 Sep |
Brentford
v
Chelsea
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 3-0 | Won |
| 14 Sep |
Manchester United
v
Manchester City
Under 45
|
Under 45 | 0-1 | Won |
| 13 Sep |
 
Sunderland
v
Arsenal
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-2 | Won |
| 12 Sep |
Crystal Palace
v
Ipswich
Over 2.5
|
Over 2.5 | 2-3 | Won |
| 6 Sep |
Arsenal
v
Chelsea
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 6 Sep |
Arsenal
v
Chelsea
Over 2.5
|
Over 2.5 | 2-1 | Won |
Every Premier League call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page.
We read the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, then blend them with underlying expected-goals data, recent form (last 5 matches each side), head-to-head record and injury news from API-Football. There's no hand-tipping in the model.
Yes, every Premier League match in the upcoming week is listed on this page. Each fixture has its own preview page with full bookmaker comparison, the model's call, who is missing, the form and the head-to-head record.
Historically our Premier League BTTS and over/under 2.5 calls have outperformed our 1X2 hit rate, mainly because the goals markets carry less line-movement noise than the match-result market. The market-by-market breakdown is on the track record page.
Yes. Injury data refreshes from API-Football multiple times daily, and the model's probabilities recalculate when significant absences are detected. Lineup-confirmed updates land roughly an hour before kickoff.
The model's call on every fixture is free on its match page. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, usually 0 to 5 a day across every league we cover, each one locked before kick-off and graded in public.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce Premier League predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
Brighton
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Hull City
Liverpool
