Chelsea crestManchester United crest

Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 Premier League

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1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Chelsea crestChelsea 46% Draw 27% Manchester United crestManchester United 27%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Chelsea (4th, 13 pts) are firmly in the top six and host a Manchester United side (14th, 6 pts) languishing in the bottom half. On paper, this looks comfortable.

A razor-thin margin: Chelsea at 46%, but the draw sits at 27%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

The model says

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The call on this game Chelsea or Draw
The best price 1.35William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.35

3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Chelsea win 46% 2.10 48%
Draw 27% 3.75 27%
Manchester United win 27% 3.25 31%
Chelsea or draw 74% 1.35 74%
Manchester United or draw 58% 1.75 57%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 67% 1.57 64%
Both teams to score 68% 1.50 67%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

13 markets
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Chelsea or Manchester United (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.22
Manchester United over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Manchester United under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.23
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Chelsea over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.25
Chelsea under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.29
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.30
Chelsea or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.35
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Chelsea crestChelsea WWLDWL

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 16 scored, 11 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Everton crestat Everton 2-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct AFC Bournemouth crestv AFC Bournemouth 5-1 Won
Fri 18 Sep Brentford crestat Brentford 0-3 Lost
Sat 12 Sep Hull City crestv Hull City 2-2 Drew
Wed 9 Sep Leeds United crestv Leeds United 6-3 Won
Sun 6 Sep Arsenal crestat Arsenal 1-2 Lost
Manchester United crestManchester United LDDLLW

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 8 scored, 8 conceded.

Tue 13 Oct Atlético Madrid crestat Atlético Madrid 0-2 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Tottenham Hotspur crestv Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Drew
Sun 20 Sep Fulham crestat Fulham 1-1 Drew
Wed 16 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion crestv Brighton & Hove Albion 2-3 Lost
Sun 13 Sep Manchester City crestv Manchester City 0-1 Lost
Thu 10 Sep Sabah FK crestv Sabah FK 4-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Chelsea v Manchester United: the numbers

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Chelsea crestChelseaManchester United crestManchester United 4League position14 4-1-2League record, won-drawn-lost1-3-2 17-13Goals for and against9-9 13Points6 2-1-0Home record v away record0-2-1 2.43Scored a game1.50 1.86Conceded a game1.50 1.43xG for a game1.75 24%Clean sheets21% 18%Failed to score11% 63%Both teams scored71%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Chelsea v Manchester United: head to head

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Chelsea won 2 4 draws Manchester United won 4
2.8 goals a game 8/10 both scored 4/10 over 2.5
18 Apr 2026 Chelsea crestManchester United crestChelsea v Manchester United 0-1
20 Sep 2025 Manchester United crestChelsea crestManchester United v Chelsea 2-1
16 May 2025 Chelsea crestManchester United crestChelsea v Manchester United 1-0
3 Nov 2024 Manchester United crestChelsea crestManchester United v Chelsea 1-1
4 Apr 2024 Chelsea crestManchester United crestChelsea v Manchester United 4-3
6 Dec 2023 Manchester United crestChelsea crestManchester United v Chelsea 2-1
25 May 2023 Manchester United crestChelsea crestManchester United v Chelsea 4-1
22 Oct 2022 Chelsea crestManchester United crestChelsea v Manchester United 1-1
28 Apr 2022 Manchester United crestChelsea crestManchester United v Chelsea 1-1
28 Nov 2021 Chelsea crestManchester United crestChelsea v Manchester United 1-1

Likely scorelines

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2-18% 3-16% 3-25% 3-03% 4-13% 4-22%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Chelsea vs Manchester United: FAQs

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Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Chelsea or Draw at 1.35. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Chelsea vs Manchester United kick off?

Chelsea vs Manchester United kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Chelsea vs Manchester United?

The best prices across the books we track: Chelsea 2.10, the draw 3.75, Manchester United 3.25. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Chelsea and Manchester United in?

Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L D W L, newest first), scoring 16 and conceding 11. Manchester United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D D L L W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 8.

What is the head to head between Chelsea and Manchester United?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Chelsea won 2, Manchester United won 4 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 18 Apr 2026, finished Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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