Manchester City crestBrighton crest

Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction

Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 Premier League

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Manchester City crestManchester City 57% Draw 22% Brighton crestBrighton 22%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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There's barely anything between these two. Manchester City (1st, 21 pts) and Brighton (3rd, 16 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Premier League table.

We lean towards Manchester City. The edge is there but not overwhelming, so a stake-back-on-a-draw option is worth a thought for an acca.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.50Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.50

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Manchester City win 57% 1.62 62%
Draw 22% 4.40 23%
Brighton win 22% 5.25 19%
Manchester City or draw 1.18 85%
Brighton or draw 47% 2.38 42%
Either side to win, no draw 1.22 82%
Over 2.5 goals 69% 1.50 67%
Both teams to score 66% 1.57 64%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Manchester City or Brighton (double chance) Bet365 1.22
Manchester City under 3 goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.25
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.22
Under 2 first half goals BetVictor 1.32
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.33
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.34
Brighton over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Brighton under 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.40
Manchester City under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.50
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Manchester City crestManchester City WLWWWW

Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 19 scored, 9 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Ipswich Town crestv Ipswich Town 3-2 Won
Wed 14 Oct Paris Saint-Germain crestv Paris Saint-Germain 2-4 Lost
Sun 11 Oct Liverpool crestat Liverpool 3-0 Won
Sun 20 Sep Sunderland crestv Sunderland 5-3 Won
Thu 17 Sep Norwich crestv Norwich 5-0 Won
Sun 13 Sep Manchester United crestat Manchester United 1-0 Won
Brighton crestBrighton WWWWWW

Last 6, newest first: 6 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost. 22 scored, 2 conceded.

Sun 18 Oct Crystal Palace crestv Crystal Palace 5-0 Won
Thu 15 Oct Kauno Zalgiris crestv Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct Sunderland crestat Sunderland 2-0 Won
Sat 19 Sep Arsenal crestv Arsenal 3-0 Won
Wed 16 Sep Manchester United crestat Manchester United 3-2 Won
Sun 13 Sep Coventry City crestat Coventry City 5-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Manchester City v Brighton: the numbers

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Manchester City crestManchester CityBrighton crestBrighton 1League position3 7-0-0League record, won-drawn-lost5-1-1 19-7Goals for and against23-5 21Points16 4-0-0Home record v away record2-0-1 2.71Scored a game3.29 1.00Conceded a game0.71 2.20xG for a game2.15 42%Clean sheets26% 11%Failed to score24% 50%Both teams scored55%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Manchester City v Brighton: head to head

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Manchester City won 5 3 draws Brighton won 2
3.3 goals a game 8/10 both scored 8/10 over 2.5
7 Jan 2026 Manchester City crestBrighton crestManchester City v Brighton 1-1
31 Aug 2025 Brighton crestManchester City crestBrighton v Manchester City 2-1
15 Mar 2025 Manchester City crestBrighton crestManchester City v Brighton 2-2
9 Nov 2024 Brighton crestManchester City crestBrighton v Manchester City 2-1
25 Apr 2024 Brighton crestManchester City crestBrighton v Manchester City 0-4
21 Oct 2023 Manchester City crestBrighton crestManchester City v Brighton 2-1
24 May 2023 Brighton crestManchester City crestBrighton v Manchester City 1-1
22 Oct 2022 Manchester City crestBrighton crestManchester City v Brighton 3-1
20 Apr 2022 Manchester City crestBrighton crestManchester City v Brighton 3-0
23 Oct 2021 Brighton crestManchester City crestBrighton v Manchester City 1-4

Likely scorelines

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2-17% 3-24% 3-14% 3-02% 4-22% 4-12%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Manchester City vs Brighton: FAQs

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Manchester City vs Brighton prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Manchester City vs Brighton kick off?

Manchester City vs Brighton kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Manchester City vs Brighton?

The best prices across the books we track: Manchester City 1.62, the draw 4.40, Brighton 5.25. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Manchester City and Brighton in?

Manchester City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W L W W W W, newest first), scoring 19 and conceding 9. Brighton have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W W W, newest first), scoring 22 and conceding 2.

What is the head to head between Manchester City and Brighton?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Manchester City won 5, Brighton won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 7 Jan 2026, finished Manchester City 1-1 Brighton.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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