Liverpool v Arsenal bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.43 +
Liverpool or draw
70% the modelRecord this market has landed 83% across 272 graded picks
The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Liverpool or draw (70%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.
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1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 53% combined for Liverpool v Arsenal. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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C. Gakpo LiverpoolShots on target 1+
C. Gakpo: 0.20 shots on target a game over 5 games [WC form: 1.74/90 over 3 games (258 min), 38% weight
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Víctor Muñoz LiverpoolShots on target 1+
Víctor Muñoz: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%Corners: Liverpool avg 6.3 for/4.7 against, Arsenal avg 4.3 for/3.8 against so expected 9.6 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Liverpool avg 6.3 for/4.7 against, Arsenal avg 4.3 for/3.8 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 38%Cards: Liverpool avg 2.0/game, Arsenal avg 1.1/game so expected 3.1 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Liverpool avg 2.0/game, Arsenal avg 1.1/game so expected 3.1 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 48%Fouls: Liverpool avg 12.0/game, Arsenal avg 10.5/game so expected 22.5 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Liverpool avg 12.0/game, Arsenal avg 10.5/game so expected 22.5 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 56%Shots: Liverpool avg 14.2/game, Arsenal avg 13.3/game so expected 27.5 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Liverpool avg 14.2/game, Arsenal avg 13.3/game so expected 27.5 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.