Wednesday's singles
Wednesday 14 October · locked before kick-off, graded after
Wednesday's singles. Each one passes three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. One unit each, locked before kick-off, graded after.
The singles 1 single, one unit locked Sun 11 Oct, 19:00
Landed in 9 of the two sides' last 12 games.
Model: clears the break-even.
The desk: No solid, current team news surfaced for this exact fixture. Named doubts: Jakub Moder (out).
Caution The price looks fair but Como have gone quiet in front of goal the last three matches, so the over is not as automatic as the twelve-game count suggests.
The case against
- Como have scored in only one of their last three matches, including a 0-0 with Roma and a game where they lost 0-2 without scoring, which is exactly the kind of recent dip the count from August cannot see.
- Much of Feyenoord's recent goal tally comes from blowout wins over weak domestic opposition in the cup rather than from games at Champions League intensity; their only true form line at this level is the 1-5 loss to Barcelona, where they themselves scored just once.
- Moise Kean, Como's big-money summer signing, is a doubt with a lower leg issue and Fabregas said he would be out for about a week from the injury, which covers this game; however he has not scored for Como yet this season and Douvikas has been leading the line and scoring in his absence, so this is a mitigated rather than severe warning.
Missing: Moise Kean (Como): Como's headline striker signing, but he has zero goals in three Como appearances so far, so his likely absence removes potential upside rather than a proven goal source; Douvikas has taken over as the main scoring threat.
The punt 2 bets, half a unit each
The fun bet: both teams to score, half a unit, never counted in the singles' record.
22 days on the record
Every sheet stays in the archive, the days with no single included. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.