Lyon crestNice crest

Lyon vs Nice Prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:45 Ligue 1

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1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Lyon crestLyon 53% Draw 25% Nice crestNice 22%

The read

The desk

Lyon are unbeaten in four of their last five at home while Nice arrive having won nothing away in five and missing four first-team regulars, including Abergel's long-term knee injury. That gap in form and team news points toward a home-dominated game with goals likely at both ends, not a trap for backing the away side.

The model says

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The call on this game Lyon or Draw
The best price 1.22William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Lyon crestLyon

No absences found.

Nice crestNice

Laurent Abergel: out (ACL rupture, since 9 Aug) · Moise Bombito: out (leg injury, since 18 Aug) · Antoine Mendy: out (knee injury, since 6 Sep) · Morgan Sanson: out (knee injury, since 7 Aug)

Checked Thu 15 Oct, 08:48.

3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Nice or Draw (Double Chance) 2.20

Nice are winless in five away (L L D L D) and missing four regulars, Abergel (ACL), Bombito, Mendy, Sanson, while Lyon are 3 wins in 5 at home and lead the head to head 5 wins to 3 over the last ten meetings.

The research desk on this game:

“Lyon's home form and Nice's four absentees make this a home-controlled game, not a Nice upset.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Lyon win 53% 1.75 57%
Draw 25% 4.00 25%
Nice win 22% 4.20 24%
Lyon or draw 78% 1.22 82%
Nice or draw 51% 2.05 49%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 55% 1.67 60%
Both teams to score 57% 1.65 61%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

19 markets
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.20
Lyon or Nice (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.20
Over 8 corners 1xBet 1.20
Nice over 2.5 corners 1xBet 1.20
Under 12.5 corners 1xBet 1.23
Nice under 6 corners 1xBet 1.21
Lyon or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.22
Lyon over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.22
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.25
Lyon under 7.5 corners 1xBet 1.27
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.30
Lyon under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 5 cards Pinnacle 1.30
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.31
Lyon under 7 corners 1xBet 1.33
Nice under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Nice over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Over 3 cards Pinnacle 1.36

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Away win 4.80 to 4.00 shortening
Home win 1.65 to 1.80 drifting, longer
BTTS no 2.10 to 2.20 drifting, longer
BTTS yes 1.73 to 1.65 shortening
Home or draw 1.17 to 1.22 drifting, longer
Under 2.5 goals 2.24 to 2.30 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Lyon crestLyon WLWWDW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 13 scored, 6 conceded.

Thu 15 Oct Crystal Palace crestv Crystal Palace 3-2 Won
Fri 9 Oct Lens crestat Lens 1-2 Lost
Sat 19 Sep Stade Rennais crestv Stade Rennais 4-0 Won
Wed 16 Sep Anderlecht crestat Anderlecht 2-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Paris FC crestat Paris FC 0-0 Drew
Fri 4 Sep AJ Auxerre crestv AJ Auxerre 3-1 Won
Nice crestNice WWLDLD

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 5 scored, 7 conceded.

Sun 11 Oct Strasbourg crestv Strasbourg 2-1 Won
Sun 20 Sep Lille crestv Lille 2-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Aj Auxerre crestat Aj Auxerre 0-1 Lost
Sat 5 Sep Le Mans crestv Le Mans 1-1 Drew
Sun 30 Aug Paris FC crestat Paris FC 0-3 Lost
Sat 22 Aug Lorient crestv Lorient 0-0 Drew

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Lyon v Nice: the numbers

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Lyon crestLyonNice crestNice 5League position11 3-2-1League record, won-drawn-lost2-2-2 11-4Goals for and against5-7 11Points8 2-1-0Home record v away record0-0-2 1.83Scored a game0.83 0.67Conceded a game1.17 1.66xG for a game1.13 44%Clean sheets18% 18%Failed to score32% 50%Both teams scored59%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Lyon v Nice: head to head

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Lyon won 5 2 draws Nice won 3
2.8 goals a game 5/10 both scored 4/10 over 2.5
15 Feb 2026 Lyon crestNice crestLyon v Nice 2-0
18 Oct 2025 Nice crestLyon crestNice v Lyon 3-2
9 Mar 2025 Nice crestLyon crestNice v Lyon 0-2
1 Dec 2024 Lyon crestNice crestLyon v Nice 4-1
16 Feb 2024 Lyon crestNice crestLyon v Nice 1-0
27 Aug 2023 Nice crestLyon crestNice v Lyon 0-0
3 Jun 2023 Nice crestLyon crestNice v Lyon 3-1
11 Nov 2022 Lyon crestNice crestLyon v Nice 1-1
12 Feb 2022 Lyon crestNice crestLyon v Nice 2-0
24 Oct 2021 Nice crestLyon crestNice v Lyon 3-2

Likely scorelines

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1-016% 2-012% 2-19% 3-06% 3-14% 4-02%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Lyon vs Nice: FAQs

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Lyon vs Nice prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Lyon or Draw at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Lyon vs Nice kick off?

Lyon vs Nice kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Ligue 1).

What are the best odds for Lyon vs Nice?

The best prices across the books we track: Lyon 1.75, the draw 4.00, Nice 4.20. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon: no absences found. Nice: Laurent Abergel: out (ACL rupture, since 9 Aug), Moise Bombito: out (leg injury, since 18 Aug), Antoine Mendy: out (knee injury, since 6 Sep), Morgan Sanson: out (knee injury, since 7 Aug).

What form are Lyon and Nice in?

Lyon have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W L W W D W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 6. Nice have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L D L D, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 7.

What is the head to head between Lyon and Nice?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Lyon won 5, Nice won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 15 Feb 2026, finished Lyon 2-0 Nice.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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