Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 Premier League1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Brighton 61%
Draw 25%
Crystal Palace 14%
The read
The deskBrighton come in on a four-match home-form run and sit third to Palace's twelfth, but their front line is stripped bare with five regular attackers missing. That gap, plus a head-to-head record that has produced draws more often than not, makes this a tighter match than the table suggests, so treat any goals bet with care.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeBrightonYankuba Minteh: out (calf) · Stefanos Tzimas: out (knee) · Kaoru Mitoma: out (thigh) · Evan Ferguson: out (ankle) · Femi Azeez: out (thigh) · Mats Wieffer: doubt (knee)
Crystal PalaceNo absences found.
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 03:18.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProOur model has this at 60%, but Brighton's scoring threat is hit hard: Minteh, Tzimas, Mitoma, Ferguson and Azeez are all out, leaving a threadbare front line to get Brighton on the scoresheet.
“Brighton's home advantage survives a stripped-out front line; the trap is backing both sides to score.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 61% | 1.50 | 67% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.75 | 21% |
| Crystal Palace win | 14% | 6.00 | 17% |
| Brighton or draw | 1.14 | 88% | |
| Crystal Palace or draw | 42% | 2.62 | 38% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.20 | 83% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.53 | 65% |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBrighton
WWWWWD
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost. 18 scored, 3 conceded.
v Kauno Zalgiris
4-0
Won
at Sunderland
2-0
Won
v Arsenal
3-0
Won
at Manchester United
3-2
Won
at Coventry City
5-0
Won
v Leeds United
1-1
Drew
Crystal Palace
LWDWLW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 14 scored, 7 conceded.
at Lyon
2-3
Lost
v Nottingham Forest
3-1
Won
at Leeds United
0-0
Drew
v Lech Poznan
4-0
Won
v Ipswich Town
2-3
Lost
v Middlesbrough
3-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Brighton v Crystal Palace: the numbers
Always freeBrightonCrystal Palace
3League position13
4-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost2-1-3
18-5Goals for and against9-12
13Points7
2-1-0Home record v away record1-1-1
3.00Scored a game1.50
0.83Conceded a game2.00
2.15xG for a game1.45
26%Clean sheets32%
24%Failed to score32%
55%Both teams scored53%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Brighton v Crystal Palace: head to head
Always freeBrighton v Crystal Palace
0-1
Crystal Palace v Brighton
0-0
Crystal Palace v Brighton
2-1
Brighton v Crystal Palace
1-3
Brighton v Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace v Brighton
1-1
Brighton v Crystal Palace
1-0
Crystal Palace v Brighton
1-1
Brighton v Crystal Palace
1-1
Crystal Palace v Brighton
1-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: FAQs
Always freeBrighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Brighton to win at 1.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Brighton vs Crystal Palace kick off?
Brighton vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Premier League).
What are the best odds for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The best prices across the books we track: Brighton 1.50, the draw 4.75, Crystal Palace 6.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton: Yankuba Minteh: out (calf), Stefanos Tzimas: out (knee), Kaoru Mitoma: out (thigh), Evan Ferguson: out (ankle), Femi Azeez: out (thigh), Mats Wieffer: doubt (knee). Crystal Palace: no absences found.
What form are Brighton and Crystal Palace in?
Brighton have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W W D, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 3. Crystal Palace have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L W D W L W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Brighton and Crystal Palace?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Brighton won 2, Crystal Palace won 3 and 5 were drawn. The most recent, 8 Feb 2026, finished Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Plymouth v Huddersfield
1.65
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Swansea v West Ham
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Airdrie United v Hamilton Academical
1.85
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.