Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 01:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Vasco da Gama or draw

60% the model

Our board prices this at 60%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.67 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 52% chance all land

1.90

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama, 53% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Sao Paulo or Draw Double Chance 76% 1.30 +
Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.34 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

A. Gómez Vasco da Gama

Shots on target 1+

A. Gómez: 0.92 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Calleri Sao Paulo

Shots on target 1+

J. Calleri: 0.72 shots on target a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Luciano Sao Paulo

Shots on target 1+

Luciano: 0.70 shots on target a game over 23 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Cuiabano Vasco da Gama

Shots on target 1+

Cuiabano: 0.58 shots on target a game over 19 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Calleri Sao Paulo

Anytime scorer

J. Calleri: 0.40 goals a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 1.40 a game
A. Gómez Vasco da Gama

To be carded

A. Gómez (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (25 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%
Corners: Sao Paulo avg 5.3 for/4.5 against, Vasco da Gama avg 5.6 for/3.8 against so expected 9.6 match corners
Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%
Corners: Sao Paulo avg 5.3 for/4.5 against, Vasco da Gama avg 5.6 for/3.8 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 49%
Cards: Sao Paulo avg 2.3/game, Vasco da Gama avg 2.4/game so expected 4.6 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: Sao Paulo avg 2.3/game, Vasco da Gama avg 2.4/game so expected 4.6 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Sao Paulo avg 16.3/game, Vasco da Gama avg 15.2/game so expected 31.4 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Sao Paulo avg 16.3/game, Vasco da Gama avg 15.2/game so expected 31.4 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 71%
Shots: Sao Paulo avg 13.3/game, Vasco da Gama avg 16.3/game so expected 29.6 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Sao Paulo avg 13.3/game, Vasco da Gama avg 16.3/game so expected 29.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 11.5 shots on target 85% market 1xBet
1.18 +
Under 3.5 goals 84% market Bet365
1.28 +
Over 6.5 shots on target 83% market 1xBet
1.20 +
Sao Paulo under 2 goals 83% market 1xBet
1.25 +
Vasco da Gama under 6.5 corners 83% market 1xBet
1.21 +
Sao Paulo over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet365
1.28 +
Sao Paulo over 3.5 corners 82% market 1xBet
1.22 +
Sao Paulo under 7.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
1.23 +
Over 0.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
1.29 +
Vasco da Gama under 6 corners 80% market 1xBet
1.25 +
Under 12.5 corners 79% market Marathon Bet
1.27 +
Sao Paulo or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill
1.30 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.