Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction
Full time 0-4
Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 FA CupFull time. The result is on the record.
1146 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Uxbridge 21%
Draw 22%
AFC Hornchurch 57%
The read
The deskHornchurch FC head to Uxbridge as clear market favourites at 1.53, with our model's board backing them even harder at 59%, well clear of the draw's 25% and Uxbridge's 22%. The pack carries no loaded form or head-to-head stats for either club, so there is no run of results to lean on. A 48-hour search for team news found nothing on injuries or suspensions for either side; the only confirmed names are managerial, Steve Morison at Hornchurch and Danny Edwards at Uxbridge, drawn from archived club material rather than this week's sheets. The angle on this tie is the level gap: Uxbridge sit in the Southern League Premier Division South, while Hornchurch were described in recent coverage as an Isthmian League side chasing promotion under Morison, a real step up in class that the price already reflects. With no team news to move the picture and no stats loaded to test it against, the call rests on that gap in level alone. HOLD the lean to Hornchurch; the research found nothing this week that changes the read, but nothing strong enough to lift it past a measured medium either, given how little hard evidence is actually on the table.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProMatch odds and BoyleSports' h2h price both back Hornchurch at 1.53, and our model's board goes further, 59% to the draw's 25% and home win's 22%. No stats are loaded in the pack for either club, so there is no form line to add to that.
Casumo prices Under 3.5 at 1.49, 67% implied. The pack has no loaded scoring or conceding stats for either club, so this leans on the level gap between the sides rather than a goals trend.
Market price is 4.00; our model's board has the draw at 25% against a modelled 4.28. No head-to-head or form lines are loaded in the pack, and search turned up nothing in team news that points toward a stalemate.
Pack prices Uxbridge at 4.50. Archived club material has Uxbridge in the Southern League Premier Division South, while recent coverage described Hornchurch as an Isthmian League side under new boss Steve Morison pushing for promotion, a tier above. No team news found gives Uxbridge anything to lean on.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 15:52. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Nothing in the team news search moves this either way. The level gap between the sides supports the model's lean to Hornchurch, but with no stats loaded and no fresh team news, there is nothing here to upgrade the call past a measured medium.
“Hornchurch should have too much class for Uxbridge, but this board runs on levels, not evidence.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge win | 5.25 | 19% | |
| Draw | 4.33 | 23% | |
| AFC Hornchurch win | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Uxbridge or draw | 2.25 | 44% | |
| AFC Hornchurch or draw | 1.12 | 89% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 | 64% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
12 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeUxbridge
LWWDW
Last 5, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 10 scored, 7 conceded.
v Hornchurch
0-4
Lost
v Hungerford Town
3-1
Won
at Farnborough
2-0
Won
v Farnborough
2-2
Drew
v Haywards Heath Town
3-0
Won
AFC Hornchurch
WWLWLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 9 scored, 7 conceded.
at Uxbridge
4-0
Won
v Eastleigh
2-0
Won
at Harrogate Town
0-3
Lost
v Aldershot Town
2-1
Won
at Altrincham
0-3
Lost
v Scunthorpe
1-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch: the numbers
Always freeUxbridgeAFC Hornchurch
2.00Scored a game1.36
1.40Conceded a game1.36
40%Clean sheets36%
20%Failed to score36%
40%Both teams scored29%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: Uxbridge and AFC Hornchurch have not played each other in the record we hold.
Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch: FAQs
Always freeUxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is AFC Hornchurch to win at 1.53. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch kick off?
Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time (FA Cup).
What are the best odds for Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?
The best prices across the books we track: Uxbridge 5.25, the draw 4.33, AFC Hornchurch 1.53. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Uxbridge and AFC Hornchurch in?
Uxbridge have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 (L W W D W, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 7. AFC Hornchurch have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L W L W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 7.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.