Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal Prediction
Full time 1-1
Sunday 18 October 2026, 03:30 MLSFull time. The result is on the record.
1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Seattle Sounders 67%
Draw 19%
CF Montreal 13%
The read
The deskSeattle have won four of their last five and are 4W-1D with no losses in their last five at home, sitting 7th. CF Montreal are 15th, with only one win in their last five away games and a patchy L W L W L run overall. The head to head tilts the other way on paper, Montreal have won 6 of the last 10 meetings to Seattle's 3, but that record predates the current form gap and shouldn't carry weight against it. Team news is thin on both sides: Pedro de la Vega is out for the rest of Seattle's season per sounderatheart.com, and no confirmed, dated absences turned up for Montreal beyond unverified reports tied to a different fixture, so their lineup should be treated as unconfirmed rather than assumed full strength. The angle is simple, a seventh-place home side on a long unbeaten home run against a fifteenth-place side that cannot win away. Both teams to score at 1.55 looks tempting off the model's own number, but that price sits in a band our ledger has lost money on, and there is no scoring data here to override it. The call: back Seattle, the current form gap is real and the head to head history is noise.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeSeattle SoundersPedro de la Vega: out for rest of season (quad injury)
CF MontrealNo absences found.
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 01:45.
The research
ProSeattle have won four of their last five with the fifth a draw, and are 4W-1D with zero losses in their last five at home. Montreal sit 15th against Seattle's 7th and have won only one of their last five away games. Our model has this at 63%.
Seattle are unbeaten in their last five home games (4W-1D) against a Montreal side with one win in five on the road and a worse table spot (15th v 7th).
Our own model likes this at 61%, but 1.55 sits inside the exact price band our graded ledger has lost money on: 36.8% actual against 61.4% needed across 57 graded bets from 1.50 to 1.74. The pack carries no goals-scored or goals-conceded data for either side to override that record.
Montreal have won just one of their last five away games (L L L L W) and sit 15th, eight places below Seattle's 7th. Overall recent form is L W L W L, no consistency to lean on.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 01:45. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Current form (4W-1D in the last five at home, no losses) and the table gap (7th v 15th) confirm the model's call. The only thing pulling the other way is the historical head to head, and it is outweighed by what both sides have actually done lately.
“Seventh-place Seattle on a four-game home run face a Montreal side that can't win away.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders win | 1.38 | 72% | |
| Draw | 5.25 | 19% | |
| CF Montreal win | 7.50 | 13% | |
| Seattle Sounders or draw | 1.10 | 91% | |
| CF Montreal or draw | 3.00 | 33% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 69% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
16 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeSeattle Sounders
DLWWWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 11 scored, 4 conceded.
v CF Montreal
1-1
Drew
at FC Dallas
0-1
Lost
at New England Revolution
3-0
Won
v Sporting Kansas City
2-1
Won
v Minnesota United
3-1
Won
v Real Salt Lake
2-0
Won
CF Montreal
DLLWLL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 5 scored, 10 conceded.
at Seattle Sounders FC
1-1
Drew
v Atlanta United FC
0-3
Lost
at Toronto FC
1-2
Lost
v FC Cincinnati
3-1
Won
v Columbus Crew
0-2
Lost
at Colorado Rapids
0-1
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal: the numbers
Always freeSeattle SoundersCF Montreal
7League position15
11-8-10League record, won-drawn-lost6-6-17
38-36Goals for and against35-59
41Points24
7-3-4Home record v away record2-1-11
1.30Scored a game1.20
1.20Conceded a game2.00
1.51xG for a game1.20
28%Clean sheets14%
24%Failed to score38%
64%Both teams scored56%
17%Over 2.5 goals17%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal: head to head
Always freeSeattle Sounders v CF Montreal
5-0
Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal
1-2
CF Montreal v Seattle Sounders
2-1
Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal
0-1
CF Montreal v Seattle Sounders
2-2
Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal
1-0
CF Montreal v Seattle Sounders
1-0
CF Montreal v Seattle Sounders
0-2
Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal
0-1
CF Montreal v Seattle Sounders
4-1
The full Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal head-to-head history
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: FAQs
Always freeSeattle Sounders vs CF Montreal prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Seattle Sounders to win at 1.38. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal kick off?
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:30 UK time (MLS).
What are the best odds for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
The best prices across the books we track: Seattle Sounders 1.38, the draw 5.25, CF Montreal 7.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Seattle Sounders: Pedro de la Vega: out for rest of season (quad injury). CF Montreal: no absences found.
What form are Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal in?
Seattle Sounders have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D L W W W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 4. CF Montreal have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (D L L W L L, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 10.
What is the head to head between Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Seattle Sounders won 3, CF Montreal won 6 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 7 Apr 2024, finished Seattle Sounders 5-0 CF Montreal.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Plymouth v Huddersfield
1.65
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Swansea v West Ham
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Airdrie United v Hamilton Academical
1.85
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.