San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Prediction
Full time 1-1
Sunday 18 October 2026, 03:30 MLSFull time. The result is on the record.
1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
San Jose Earthquakes 22%
Draw 25%
Nashville SC 53%
The read
The deskSan Jose's season line reads fine at a glance, D W D W W, but split it by venue and the picture changes: their last five at home are W D W L L, two straight losses to close. Nashville arrive top of the table on W W W D L overall, and their away form of W D L D W is unspectacular but unbeaten in the last two. The clearest number on the pack is the head to head: the last four meetings between these sides have produced zero home wins, zero away wins, and four draws. That record argues against backing either side outright and against paying up for a short double chance that strips the draw out of the equation. No credible, dated team news turned up for either club in the last 48 hours, so this read is built on form and history alone, not absences. The call leans toward Nashville avoiding defeat and a contained scoreline rather than a home win, with the double chance and under goals lines the more defensible markets, even if the prices on both are too short to carry in a slip.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProSan Jose home form last 5 ends W D W L L, two straight home losses; h2h in this fixture is 0 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins across the last 4 meetings; Nashville sit 1st in the table against San Jose's 4th.
Nashville are 1st in the table against San Jose's 4th; away form last 5 is W D L D W, 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, with no defeat in the most recent two away games. San Jose's home form has turned, ending L L.
San Jose's last 5 overall (D W D W W) and home form (W D W L L) show no side running up scorelines; the last 4 meetings between these sides produced 0 home wins, 0 away wins and 4 draws.
This Bet365 double chance strips the draw out at 1.28, implied 83%, but the last 4 meetings between these two sides have gone 0 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, so the exact bet on offer has lost all four times it's been tried in this matchup.
San Jose's overall run reads fine, D W D W W, but the home only split ends in back to back losses, W D W L L; San Jose have never beaten Nashville across the last 4 meetings, 0 wins, 4 draws.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 01:49. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Research backs the model's lean: the h2h is 4 draws from 4 with no home or away win either way, and neither side's recent run (San Jose D W D W W, Nashville W W W D L) suggests a side about to run up a scoreline. No team news emerged to push this either way, so it holds, even though the price is already too short for a slip.
“Four straight draws between these sides, and San Jose's home form has gone cold too.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 3.70 | 27% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 25% | |
| Nashville SC win | 1.91 | 52% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes or draw | 1.83 | 55% | |
| Nashville SC or draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.25 | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 | 67% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeSan Jose Earthquakes
DDDWDW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost. 9 scored, 6 conceded.
v Nashville SC
1-1
Drew
at Real Salt Lake
1-1
Drew
at Colorado Rapids
1-1
Drew
v Portland Timbers
3-1
Won
v Los Angeles
2-2
Drew
v Houston Dynamo
1-0
Won
Nashville SC
DWWWWD
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost. 16 scored, 4 conceded.
at San Jose Earthquakes
1-1
Drew
v Sporting Kansas City
4-0
Won
at Austin FC
4-1
Won
v Toronto
2-0
Won
v Chicago Fire
3-0
Won
at Inter Miami
2-2
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC: the numbers
Always freeSan Jose EarthquakesNashville SC
4League position1
13-8-8League record, won-drawn-lost20-6-3
51-41Goals for and against63-22
47Points66
6-3-5Home record v away record6-5-3
1.80Scored a game2.20
1.40Conceded a game0.80
1.27xG for a game2.08
24%Clean sheets48%
14%Failed to score17%
80%Both teams scored48%
31%Over 2.5 goals41%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC: head to head
Always freeNashville SC v San Jose Earthquakes
1-1
San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC
1-1
Nashville SC v San Jose Earthquakes
0-0
San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC
2-2
The full San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC head-to-head history
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: FAQs
Always freeSan Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.53. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kick off?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:30 UK time (MLS).
What are the best odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
The best prices across the books we track: San Jose Earthquakes 3.70, the draw 4.00, Nashville SC 1.91. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC in?
San Jose Earthquakes have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 6 (D D D W D W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 6. Nashville SC have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 (D W W W W D, newest first), scoring 16 and conceding 4.
What is the head to head between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC?
In their last 4 meetings on our record, San Jose Earthquakes won 0, Nashville SC won 0 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 28 Apr 2024, finished Nashville SC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.