Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa
Newcastle
0-1
Aston Villa
Our call before kick-off
Logged before kick-off at the price shown and graded from the final score. Every call is on the track record, wins and losses alike.
The FBB Pro single on this game
Members had it before kick-off; once a game kicks off it is open to everyone. Every single, won and lost, is on the Pro record.
How the game went
Two goals short. The game had 31 shots, 4 on target and 2.7 xG between them: the chances came, the goals did not. Going in, the two sides' recent form pointed to about 3.8 goals, with three or more the likelier outcome.
Match stats
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.56 |
Our read before the game
Newcastle unbeaten at home in five, but Villa's away form is better than their table slot suggests.
Newcastle are unbeaten in five at home, while Aston Villa, despite sitting 16th, have won three of their last five away, a bigger gap than the table shows. With no confirmed team news in the last 48 hours, the safer read is home-or-draw, not a one-sided favourite.
Written Wed 14 Oct, about 75 hours before kick-off, and left as it was.