Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 02:00 Liga MX1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Toluca 64%
Draw 21%
Club Tijuana 15%
The read
The deskToluca are in career form at home and sit second, while Tijuana arrive winless away in five and short of their best attacking piece. Expect Toluca to control the game and find goals; the danger for bettors is paying too much for markets that only restate that same read.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeTolucaMarcel Ruiz: out (ACL/knee, long-term, ruled him out of the World Cup)
Club TijuanaGilberto Mora: fitness doubt (completed only 1 full match all 2026, missed roughly 17 games) · Elias Manoel: doubt (undisclosed injury, left out of recent squad)
Checked Mon 19 Oct, 00:28.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe trap is obvious: Toluca's home scoring form (3 wins last 3) makes BTTS yes look easy at 1.60. But Tijuana's away record is 4 draws and a loss in 5 with no win, the pattern of a side grinding out quiet scorelines, and their sharpest attacker, Mora, has completed just 1 full match all 2026. At 1.60 this needs to land roughly 63 times in 100; our own ledger has BTTS between 1.50 and 1.74 landing 36.8 percent across 57 graded bets, well short.
“Toluca's home run and Tijuana's winless away form point to a comfortable, low-event home win.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca win | 1.40 | 71% | |
| Draw | 5.00 | 20% | |
| Club Tijuana win | 7.00 | 14% | |
| Toluca or draw | 1.12 | 89% | |
| Club Tijuana or draw | 2.80 | 36% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 68% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
17 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeToluca
DLDLWW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 14 scored, 12 conceded.
v Atletico De San Luis
1-1
Drew
at Tigres UANL
2-3
Lost
at Cruz Azul
3-3
Drew
v Santos Laguna
2-3
Lost
at Puebla
1-0
Won
v Atlas
5-2
Won
Club Tijuana
DDDLDL
Last 6, newest first: 0 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost. 6 scored, 8 conceded.
v Puebla
0-0
Drew
at FC Juarez
1-1
Drew
at FC Juarez
1-1
Drew
v Atlas
2-3
Lost
at CF Pachuca
2-2
Drew
v Querétaro
0-1
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Toluca v Club Tijuana: the numbers
Always freeTolucaClub Tijuana
2League position9
6-3-3League record, won-drawn-lost4-4-3
26-16Goals for and against15-14
21Points16
3-1-2Home record v away record0-3-1
2.20Scored a game1.40
1.30Conceded a game1.30
33%Clean sheets36%
8%Failed to score27%
65%Both teams scored59%
33%Over 2.5 goals9%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Toluca v Club Tijuana: head to head
Always freeToluca v Club Tijuana
1-0
Club Tijuana v Toluca
0-0
Club Tijuana v Toluca
2-4
Toluca v Club Tijuana
4-0
Toluca v Club Tijuana
2-0
Club Tijuana v Toluca
2-1
Club Tijuana v Toluca
3-3
Toluca v Club Tijuana
3-1
Toluca v Club Tijuana
1-2
Club Tijuana v Toluca
0-2
Toluca vs Club Tijuana: FAQs
Always freeToluca vs Club Tijuana prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Toluca to win at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Toluca vs Club Tijuana kick off?
Toluca vs Club Tijuana kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 02:00 UK time (Liga MX).
What are the best odds for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
The best prices across the books we track: Toluca 1.40, the draw 5.00, Club Tijuana 7.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Toluca: Marcel Ruiz: out (ACL/knee, long-term, ruled him out of the World Cup). Club Tijuana: Gilberto Mora: fitness doubt (completed only 1 full match all 2026, missed roughly 17 games), Elias Manoel: doubt (undisclosed injury, left out of recent squad).
What form are Toluca and Club Tijuana in?
Toluca have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D L D L W W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 12. Club Tijuana have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D D D L D L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 8.
What is the head to head between Toluca and Club Tijuana?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Toluca won 6, Club Tijuana won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 14 Feb 2026, finished Toluca 1-0 Club Tijuana.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew
1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fiorentina v Como
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fluminense v Santos
2.00
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.