Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45 Europa League1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Sturm Graz 27%
Draw 26%
Marseille 47%
The read
The deskSturm Graz are missing six first-team regulars and just lost 3-0 in Europe at Bournemouth, while Marseille's Bruno Genesio reportedly has his job on the line after a 4-1 defeat at Besiktas. Expect goals at both ends rather than a home certainty, with Marseille's away record giving them the advantage in the draw-or-better markets.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeSturm GrazOtar Kiteishvili: out · Gizo Mamageishvili: out · Nelson Weiper: out · Filip Rozga: out · Leon Grgic: out · Albert Vallci: doubt
MarseilleNo absences found.
Checked Mon 19 Oct, 01:46.
The research
ProGraz's attack is down 5 named players, Kiteishvili, Weiper, Mamageishvili, Rozga and Grgic, and they were blanked 3-0 in their last European game, so the side most likely to supply the home goal is the one with the least to give. Our own ledger has BTTS at 1.50-1.74 winning only 36.8 percent against a 61.4 percent breakeven, and this fixture gives no reason to think these two sides buck that.
“Graz's injury-hit side and Marseille's crisis under Genesio point to goals, not a home upset.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz win | 3.40 | 29% | |
| Draw | 3.50 | 29% | |
| Marseille win | 2.05 | 49% | |
| Sturm Graz or draw | 1.75 | 57% | |
| Marseille or draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 60% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
17 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeSturm Graz
LDLLWW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 6 scored, 6 conceded.
at AFC Bournemouth
0-3
Lost
v Stade Rennais
0-0
Drew
v Fenerbahce
0-1
Lost
at Fenerbahce
0-2
Lost
at Heart of Midlothian
2-0
Won
v Heart of Midlothian
4-0
Won
Marseille
WLWLLL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. 9 scored, 10 conceded.
at Angers
5-2
Won
at Troyes
2-0
Won
v Paris Saint-Germain
1-2
Lost
at Besiktas
1-4
Lost
at Stade Rennais
0-1
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Sturm Graz v Marseille: the numbers
Always freeSturm GrazMarseille
26League position32
0-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost0-0-2
0-3Goals for and against1-5
1Points0
0-1-0Home record v away record0-0-1
1.00Scored a game0.50
1.50Conceded a game2.50
50%Clean sheets19%
100%Failed to score50%
0%Both teams scored50%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Sturm Graz v Marseille: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: Sturm Graz and Marseille have not played each other in the record we hold.
Sturm Graz vs Marseille: FAQs
Always freeSturm Graz vs Marseille prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Sturm Graz vs Marseille kick off?
Sturm Graz vs Marseille kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
The best prices across the books we track: Sturm Graz 3.40, the draw 3.50, Marseille 2.05. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
Sturm Graz: Otar Kiteishvili: out, Gizo Mamageishvili: out, Nelson Weiper: out, Filip Rozga: out, Leon Grgic: out, Albert Vallci: doubt. Marseille: no absences found.
What form are Sturm Graz and Marseille in?
Sturm Graz have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D L L W W, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L W L L L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 10.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
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1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
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1.67
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Sun 18 Oct
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Fluminense v Santos
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Sat 17 Oct
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Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
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1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.