Monaco crestSC Freiburg crest

Monaco vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 Europa Conference League

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Monaco crestMonaco 38% Draw 25% SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg 37%

The read

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There's barely anything between these two. Monaco (9th, 3 pts) and SC Freiburg (7th, 3 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Europa Conference League table.

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Monaco crestMonaco

Lukas Hradecky: out · Mohammed Salisu: out · Wout Faes: out · Christian Mawissa: out · Kassoum Ouattara: out · Ansu Fati: doubt (calf)

SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

No fresh injury or suspension news surfaced in the last 48 hours

Checked Mon 19 Oct, 06:38.

The research

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The research desk on this game:

“”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Monaco win 2.20 45%
Draw 3.50 29%
SC Freiburg win 2.90 34%
Monaco or draw 1.36 74%
SC Freiburg or draw 1.62 62%
Either side to win, no draw 1.29 78%
Over 2.5 goals 1.73 58%
Both teams to score 1.62 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

13 markets
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Monaco under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.20
Monaco over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.20
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.22
Monaco or SC Freiburg (double chance) William Hill 1.29
SC Freiburg over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.34
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.33
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.31
Monaco or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.36
Under 10.5 corners 1xBet 1.45
Over 8.5 corners Bet365 1.73
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Draw 3.78 to 3.50 shortening
BTTS yes 1.52 to 1.62 drifting, longer
Under 2.5 goals 2.29 to 2.16 shortening
BTTS no 2.37 to 2.25 shortening
Home or draw 1.42 to 1.36 shortening
Home win 2.29 to 2.20 shortening
Over 2.5 goals 1.67 to 1.73 drifting, longer
Away win 2.98 to 2.90 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Monaco crestMonaco LWDWDW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 9 scored, 7 conceded.

Sun 18 Oct Lorient crestat Lorient 0-1 Lost
Thu 15 Oct Cska Sofia crestat Cska Sofia 2-1 Won
Sat 10 Oct Toulouse crestv Toulouse 2-2 Drew
Fri 18 Sep Lens crestv Lens 2-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Strasbourg crestat Strasbourg 1-1 Drew
Fri 4 Sep Paris Saint Germain crestat Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Won
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg LWWDWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 14 scored, 7 conceded.

Sun 18 Oct Bayer Leverkusen crestat Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Lost
Thu 15 Oct Jablonec crestv Jablonec 3-2 Won
Sun 11 Oct Schalke 04 crestv Schalke 04 2-1 Won
Sat 19 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt crestat Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Drew
Sat 12 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach crestv Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-0 Won
Sat 5 Sep SC Paderborn 07 crestat SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Monaco v SC Freiburg: the numbers

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Monaco crestMonacoSC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg 9League position7 3-0-0League record, won-drawn-lost3-0-0 9-4Goals for and against10-4 3Points3 1-0-0Home record v away record1-0-0 3.00Scored a game3.30 1.30Conceded a game1.30 1.19xG for a game1.92 12%Clean sheets19% 12%Failed to score10% 76%Both teams scored71% 67%Over 2.5 goals100%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Monaco v SC Freiburg: head to head

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A first meeting: Monaco and SC Freiburg have not played each other in the record we hold.

Monaco vs SC Freiburg: FAQs

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Monaco vs SC Freiburg prediction: what is the call?

This fixture is in a league we are still building a graded record on, so the page shows the bookmakers' prices and the evidence rather than a call. Our graded calls cover the leagues where the record supports them.

What time does Monaco vs SC Freiburg kick off?

Monaco vs SC Freiburg kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Europa Conference League).

What are the best odds for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?

The best prices across the books we track: Monaco 2.20, the draw 3.50, SC Freiburg 2.90. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?

Monaco: Lukas Hradecky: out, Mohammed Salisu: out, Wout Faes: out, Christian Mawissa: out, Kassoum Ouattara: out, Ansu Fati: doubt (calf). SC Freiburg: No fresh injury or suspension news surfaced in the last 48 hours.

What form are Monaco and SC Freiburg in?

Monaco have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W D W D W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 7. SC Freiburg have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W W D W W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 7.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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