Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00 Champions League1154 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Real Madrid 71%
Draw 17%
RB Leipzig 11%
The read
The deskReal Madrid arrive full of home-form confidence while RB Leipzig have not won away all season and are missing two key midfielders under a brand new manager. The shape favours a home win with goals in it, though the market has already priced that read thin.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeReal MadridMendy: out (thigh, long-term) · Rodrygo: out (knee, long-term) · Asencio: out · Valverde: doubt (ankle, managed carefully)
RB LeipzigBaumgartner: out (key midfielder missing) · Ouedraogo: out (shoulder, several weeks)
Checked Sun 18 Oct, 18:19.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProLeipzig have won none of their last 5 away games (L L L L L) and sit 21st in their table against Real Madrid's 8th. They are missing midfielders Baumgartner and Ouedraogo, with Reitz still not fully sharp, under new head coach Martin Demichelis. Real Madrid have won 5 of 5 at home and lead the h2h 2 wins to 1 with a draw in the last 4.
“Real Madrid's perfect home run meets a Leipzig side winless away and short in midfield”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid win | 71% | 1.29 | 78% |
| Draw | 17% | 7.00 | 14% |
| RB Leipzig win | 11% | 11.00 | 9% |
| Real Madrid or draw | 1.08 | 93% | |
| RB Leipzig or draw | 33% | 3.90 | 26% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.12 | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.25 | 80% |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 1.55 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
14 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeReal Madrid
WWLWWW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 15 scored, 9 conceded.
at AS Roma
4-3
Won
v Villarreal
1-0
Won
at Atlético Madrid
1-2
Lost
at Elche
3-2
Won
v Rayo Vallecano
4-1
Won
v Internazionale
2-1
Won
RB Leipzig
LWWLWL
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 14 scored, 12 conceded.
at Bayern Munich
1-6
Lost
v PSV Eindhoven
1-0
Won
v Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
Won
at Bayer Leverkusen
0-2
Lost
v Hamburg SV
5-0
Won
at Como
1-4
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Real Madrid v RB Leipzig: the numbers
Always freeReal MadridRB Leipzig
8League position21
2-0-0League record, won-drawn-lost1-0-1
6-4Goals for and against2-4
6Points3
1-0-0Home record v away record0-0-1
3.00Scored a game1.00
2.00Conceded a game2.00
2.49xG for a game2.30
37%Clean sheets32%
11%Failed to score9%
55%Both teams scored62%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Real Madrid v RB Leipzig: head to head
Always freeReal Madrid v RB Leipzig
1-1
RB Leipzig v Real Madrid
0-1
RB Leipzig v Real Madrid
3-2
Real Madrid v RB Leipzig
2-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: FAQs
Always freeReal Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Real Madrid at 1.29. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).
What are the best odds for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
The best prices across the books we track: Real Madrid 1.29, the draw 7.00, RB Leipzig 11.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid: Mendy: out (thigh, long-term), Rodrygo: out (knee, long-term), Asencio: out, Valverde: doubt (ankle, managed carefully). RB Leipzig: Baumgartner: out (key midfielder missing), Ouedraogo: out (shoulder, several weeks).
What form are Real Madrid and RB Leipzig in?
Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W L W W W, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 9. RB Leipzig have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L W W L W L, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 12.
What is the head to head between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig?
In their last 4 meetings on our record, Real Madrid won 2, RB Leipzig won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 6 Mar 2024, finished Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.