FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00 Champions League1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
FC Porto 55%
Draw 20%
PSV Eindhoven 26%
The read
The deskPorto are solid at home and PSV arrive short-handed, so the game leans Porto's way without promising a flood of goals. The cautious markets around that read price in near-certainty, so a straight Porto win says the same thing at a fairer number than insuring the draw.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeFC PortoNo absences found.
PSV EindhovenJerdy Schouten: out (knee) · Alassane Pléa: out (post-surgery) · Paul Wanner: out (foot) · Sam Lammers: out (fitness) · Kiliann Sildillia: out (post-surgery) · Ricardo Pepi: doubt (wound)
Checked Sat 17 Oct, 02:58.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe pack has this at 62% @1.57, but that number does not survive the team news. PSV's scoring options are gutted (Pléa, Lammers, Wanner, Pepi all out or doubtful) against a Porto home defence that has lost just once in its last 5 (W L W W W). PSV scoring away here is a harder ask than the price implies.
“Porto are fit and strong at home, PSV are short six bodies, but the short prices do the damage here”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 55% | 1.62 | 62% |
| Draw | 20% | 4.33 | 23% |
| PSV Eindhoven win | 26% | 5.00 | 20% |
| FC Porto or draw | 80%+ | 1.20 | 83% |
| PSV Eindhoven or draw | 47% | 2.25 | 44% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.57 | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.57 | 64% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
12 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeFC Porto
LWWWLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 13 scored, 9 conceded.
at Real Betis
2-3
Lost
at Maritimo
2-1
Won
v Benfica
3-1
Won
at Casa Pia
4-1
Won
v Manchester City
0-2
Lost
v Moreirense
2-1
Won
PSV Eindhoven
LLWLWD
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 10 scored, 8 conceded.
at Ado Den Haag
1-2
Lost
at RB Leipzig
0-1
Lost
v Heerenveen
2-0
Won
at FC Twente
2-3
Lost
v Sparta Rotterdam
4-1
Won
v Shakhtar Donetsk
1-1
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven: the numbers
Always freeFC PortoPSV Eindhoven
30League position26
0-0-2League record, won-drawn-lost0-1-1
2-5Goals for and against1-2
0Points1
0-0-1Home record v away record0-0-1
1.00Scored a game0.50
2.50Conceded a game1.00
37%Clean sheets12%
11%Failed to score6%
53%Both teams scored82%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven have not played each other in the record we hold.
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: FAQs
Always freeFC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is FC Porto or Draw at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven kick off?
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).
What are the best odds for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
The best prices across the books we track: FC Porto 1.62, the draw 4.33, PSV Eindhoven 5.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
FC Porto: no absences found. PSV Eindhoven: Jerdy Schouten: out (knee), Alassane Pléa: out (post-surgery), Paul Wanner: out (foot), Sam Lammers: out (fitness), Kiliann Sildillia: out (post-surgery), Ricardo Pepi: doubt (wound).
What form are FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven in?
FC Porto have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L W W W L W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 9. PSV Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L W L W D, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 8.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fiorentina v Como
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Plymouth v Huddersfield
1.65
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Swansea v West Ham
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.