Marseille crestToulouse crest

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Sunday 1 November 2026, 19:45 Ligue 1

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Marseille crestMarseille 52% Draw 24% Toulouse crestToulouse 25%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Neck and neck in the Ligue 1 standings. Marseille (9th, 9 pts) host Toulouse (11th, 9 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

Too close to call with any conviction. Marseille edge it at 52% but a draw (24%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

The model says

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The call on this game Marseille or Draw
The best price 1.25William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.25

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Marseille win 52% 1.83 55%
Draw 24% 3.75 27%
Toulouse win 25% 3.80 26%
Marseille or draw 76% 1.25 80%
Toulouse or draw 51% 1.95 51%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 63% 1.70 59%
Both teams to score 65% 1.60 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Under 4 goals Pinnacle 1.28
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Marseille over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.25
Marseille or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Marseille or Toulouse (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Over 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.26
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.29
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Toulouse over 0.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.32
Marseille under 2.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.35
Toulouse under 1.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Marseille crestMarseille WLWLLL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. 9 scored, 10 conceded.

Sun 18 Oct Angers crestat Angers 5-2 Won
Thu 15 Oct v Olympiacos 0-1 Lost
Sun 11 Oct Troyes crestat Troyes 2-0 Won
Sun 20 Sep Paris Saint-Germain crestv Paris Saint-Germain 1-2 Lost
Thu 17 Sep Besiktas crestat Besiktas 1-4 Lost
Fri 11 Sep Stade Rennais crestat Stade Rennais 0-1 Lost
Toulouse crestToulouse WDWDLD

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 9 conceded.

Fri 16 Oct Le Mans crestat Le Mans 3-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct AS Monaco crestat AS Monaco 2-2 Drew
Sat 19 Sep Le Havre AC crestv Le Havre AC 3-2 Won
Sat 12 Sep Lorient crestat Lorient 2-2 Drew
Thu 3 Sep Lille crestv Lille 0-1 Lost
Sat 29 Aug Brest crestat Brest 2-2 Drew

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Marseille v Toulouse: the numbers

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Marseille crestMarseilleToulouse crestToulouse 9League position11 3-0-4League record, won-drawn-lost2-3-2 14-10Goals for and against12-11 9Points9 1-0-2Home record v away record1-3-0 2.00Scored a game1.71 1.43Conceded a game1.57 1.70xG for a game2.04 26%Clean sheets29% 24%Failed to score32% 50%Both teams scored47%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Marseille v Toulouse: head to head

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Marseille won 6 4 draws Toulouse won 0
3.5 goals a game 7/10 both scored 7/10 over 2.5
7 Mar 2026 Toulouse crestMarseille crestToulouse v Marseille 0-1
4 Mar 2026 Marseille crestToulouse crestMarseille v Toulouse 2-2
29 Nov 2025 Marseille crestToulouse crestMarseille v Toulouse 2-2
6 Apr 2025 Marseille crestToulouse crestMarseille v Toulouse 3-2
31 Aug 2024 Toulouse crestMarseille crestToulouse v Marseille 1-3
21 Apr 2024 Toulouse crestMarseille crestToulouse v Marseille 2-2
17 Sep 2023 Marseille crestToulouse crestMarseille v Toulouse 0-0
19 Feb 2023 Toulouse crestMarseille crestToulouse v Marseille 2-3
29 Dec 2022 Marseille crestToulouse crestMarseille v Toulouse 6-1
8 Feb 2020 Marseille crestToulouse crestMarseille v Toulouse 1-0

Likely scorelines

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2-19% 3-15% 3-24% 3-03% 4-12% 4-22%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Marseille vs Toulouse: FAQs

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Marseille vs Toulouse prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Marseille or Draw at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Marseille vs Toulouse kick off?

Marseille vs Toulouse kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Ligue 1).

What are the best odds for Marseille vs Toulouse?

The best prices across the books we track: Marseille 1.83, the draw 3.75, Toulouse 3.80. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Marseille and Toulouse in?

Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L W L L L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 10. Toulouse have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W D L D, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 9.

What is the head to head between Marseille and Toulouse?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Marseille won 6, Toulouse won 0 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 7 Mar 2026, finished Toulouse 0-1 Marseille.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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