Alaves vs Malaga Prediction
Friday 23 October 2026, 20:00 La Liga1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Alaves 52%
Draw 28%
Malaga 20%
The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
The read
Always freeAlaves are winless in their last five; Malaga are winless in their last five. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this La Liga tie.
A razor-thin margin: Alaves at 52%, but the draw sits at 28%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves win | 52% | 1.80 | 56% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 | 29% |
| Malaga win | 20% | 4.75 | 21% |
| Alaves or draw | 79% | 1.20 | 83% |
| Malaga or draw | 52% | 1.95 | 51% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 1.95 | 51% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
17 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeAlaves
LLDLLW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 8 scored, 9 conceded.
at Celta Vigo
1-2
Lost
v Atlético Madrid
1-2
Lost
at Athletic Club
0-0
Drew
v Valencia
0-1
Lost
at Racing Santander
1-2
Lost
v Osasuna
5-2
Won
Malaga
LDLLDD
Last 6, newest first: 0 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost. 5 scored, 11 conceded.
v Real Sociedad
2-5
Lost
v Espanyol
1-1
Drew
at Getafe
0-1
Lost
v Villarreal
1-3
Lost
at Celta Vigo
1-1
Drew
v Levante
0-0
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Alaves v Malaga: the numbers
Always freeAlavesMalaga
1.50Scored a game1.36
1.39Conceded a game1.45
1.29xG for a game0.82
13%Clean sheets23%
26%Failed to score23%
63%Both teams scored64%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Alaves v Malaga: head to head
Always freeAlaves v Malaga
2-1
Malaga v Alaves
1-0
Malaga v Alaves
0-3
Alaves v Malaga
1-0
Malaga v Alaves
1-2
Alaves v Malaga
1-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Alaves vs Malaga: FAQs
Always freeAlaves vs Malaga prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Alaves or Draw at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Alaves vs Malaga kick off?
Alaves vs Malaga kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (La Liga).
What are the best odds for Alaves vs Malaga?
The best prices across the books we track: Alaves 1.80, the draw 3.50, Malaga 4.75. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Alaves and Malaga in?
Alaves have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L L D L L W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Malaga have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D L L D D, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 11.
What is the head to head between Alaves and Malaga?
In their last 6 meetings on our record, Alaves won 4, Malaga won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 20 May 2023, finished Alaves 2-1 Malaga.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew
1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fiorentina v Como
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fluminense v Santos
2.00
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.