Liverpool crestArsenal crest

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Sunday 1 November 2026, 16:30 Premier League

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Liverpool crestLiverpool 25% Draw 27% Arsenal crestArsenal 47%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Neck and neck in the Premier League standings. Liverpool (5th, 12 pts) host Arsenal (2nd, 18 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

A razor-thin margin: Arsenal at 47%, but the draw sits at 27%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.22Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Liverpool win 25% 3.25 31%
Draw 27% 3.50 29%
Arsenal win 47% 2.15 47%
Liverpool or draw 58% 1.70 59%
Arsenal or draw 71% 1.35 74%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 51% 1.73 58%
Both teams to score 56% 1.65 61%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.20
Arsenal over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.18
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Arsenal under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Liverpool or Arsenal (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Liverpool over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.33
Over 2 goals Betano 1.38
Arsenal or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.35
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.50
Liverpool under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Home win 3.30 to 3.10 shortening
Over 2.5 goals 1.80 to 1.73 shortening
Draw 3.30 to 3.40 drifting, longer
Home or draw 1.70 to 1.67 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Liverpool crestLiverpool WWLWWD

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 8 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Brentford crestat Brentford 2-1 Won
Wed 14 Oct Lask Linz crestat Lask Linz 6-3 Won
Sun 11 Oct Manchester City crestv Manchester City 0-3 Lost
Sun 20 Sep AFC Bournemouth crestat AFC Bournemouth 1-0 Won
Tue 15 Sep Tottenham Hotspur crestv Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Fulham crestv Fulham 0-0 Drew
Arsenal crestArsenal WWWLWW

Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 6 conceded.

Sun 18 Oct Nottingham Forest crestat Nottingham Forest 1-0 Won
Tue 13 Oct Lille crestv Lille 3-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct Leeds United crestv Leeds United 2-1 Won
Sat 19 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion crestat Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Lost
Tue 15 Sep Ipswich Town crestat Ipswich Town 4-2 Won
Sat 12 Sep Sunderland crestat Sunderland 2-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Liverpool v Arsenal: the numbers

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Liverpool crestLiverpoolArsenal crestArsenal 5League position2 3-3-1League record, won-drawn-lost6-0-1 9-8Goals for and against11-5 12Points18 0-2-1Home record v away record3-0-1 1.29Scored a game1.57 1.14Conceded a game0.71 1.55xG for a game1.71 26%Clean sheets50% 11%Failed to score8% 68%Both teams scored47%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Liverpool v Arsenal: head to head

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Liverpool won 3 5 draws Arsenal won 2
2.9 goals a game 7/10 both scored 6/10 over 2.5
8 Jan 2026 Arsenal crestLiverpool crestArsenal v Liverpool 0-0
31 Aug 2025 Liverpool crestArsenal crestLiverpool v Arsenal 1-0
11 May 2025 Liverpool crestArsenal crestLiverpool v Arsenal 2-2
27 Oct 2024 Arsenal crestLiverpool crestArsenal v Liverpool 2-2
31 Jul 2024 Liverpool crestArsenal crestLiverpool v Arsenal 2-1
4 Feb 2024 Arsenal crestLiverpool crestArsenal v Liverpool 3-1
7 Jan 2024 Arsenal crestLiverpool crestArsenal v Liverpool 0-2
23 Dec 2023 Liverpool crestArsenal crestLiverpool v Arsenal 1-1
9 Apr 2023 Liverpool crestArsenal crestLiverpool v Arsenal 2-2
9 Oct 2022 Arsenal crestLiverpool crestArsenal v Liverpool 3-2

Likely scorelines

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0-113% 0-29% 1-29% 0-34% 1-34% 2-32%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Liverpool vs Arsenal: FAQs

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Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Liverpool vs Arsenal kick off?

Liverpool vs Arsenal kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

The best prices across the books we track: Liverpool 3.25, the draw 3.50, Arsenal 2.15. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Liverpool and Arsenal in?

Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W L W W D, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 8. Arsenal have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W W L W W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 6.

What is the head to head between Liverpool and Arsenal?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Liverpool won 3, Arsenal won 2 and 5 were drawn. The most recent, 8 Jan 2026, finished Arsenal 0-0 Liverpool.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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