Lille crestGalatasaray crest

Lille vs Galatasaray Prediction

Wednesday 21 October 2026, 17:45 Champions League

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Lille crestLille 36% Draw 25% Galatasaray crestGalatasaray 39%

The read

The desk

Lille defend solidly at home but lose their most creative outlet, Ethan Mbappe, to suspension, while Galatasaray travel well even without matching form at home. Expect goals from both sides rather than a clean sheet; treat this as a game that stays open, not one where either team shuts the other out.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.20Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.20

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Lille crestLille

Ethan Mbappe: suspended (3-match UEFA ban, red card vs Real Betis)

Galatasaray crestGalatasaray

No absences found.

Checked Sun 18 Oct, 18:51.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Both Teams to Score, No 2.40

Both teams are priced 80+ implied to score at least once (home over 0.5 @1.18 Bet365, away over 0.5 @1.28 Bet365); Galatasaray's away run is 3W-2L in five and Lille's home run 2W-2D-1L, both sides finding the net regularly enough that a blank from either at 2.40 is the wrong side of the shape.

The research desk on this game:

“Goals look likely at both ends; the result is the open question, not the shape.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Lille win 36% 2.15 47%
Draw 25% 3.75 27%
Galatasaray win 39% 3.20 31%
Lille or draw 75% 1.36 74%
Galatasaray or draw 59% 1.67 60%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 66% 1.62 62%
Both teams to score 68% 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

22 markets
Under 12.5 corners Betano 1.20
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.20
Galatasaray under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Lille under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.26
Under 2 first half goals BetVictor 1.22
Galatasaray under 6.5 corners Betano 1.22
Lille or Galatasaray (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Galatasaray over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Over 2.5 cards Betano 1.23
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.27
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.28
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.25
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.30
Lille over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Lille over 3.5 corners Betano 1.29
Lille or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.36
Lille under 6.5 corners Betano 1.30
Galatasaray over 3.5 corners Betano 1.38
Under 10.5 shots on target Betano 1.45
Both teams to score: Yes Bet365 1.53

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Under 2.5 goals 2.05 to 2.41 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.75 to 1.62 shortening
Away win 3.20 to 3.00 shortening
Draw 3.40 to 3.50 drifting, longer
Home win 2.10 to 2.15 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Lille crestLille DLWLWL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 9 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Brest crestv Brest 1-1 Drew
Tue 13 Oct Arsenal crestat Arsenal 0-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Le Havre AC crestv Le Havre AC 1-0 Won
Sun 20 Sep Nice crestat Nice 1-2 Lost
Sun 13 Sep Estac Troyes crestv Estac Troyes 2-0 Won
Tue 8 Sep Real Betis crestv Real Betis 2-3 Lost
Galatasaray crestGalatasaray WLWLWL

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 12 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Genclerbirligi crestat Genclerbirligi 1-0 Won
Tue 13 Oct Barcelona crestv Barcelona 1-4 Lost
Fri 9 Oct Kasimpasa crestv Kasimpasa 3-1 Won
Sat 19 Sep Trabzonspor crestat Trabzonspor 0-4 Lost
Sun 13 Sep Kocaelispor crestv Kocaelispor 1-0 Won
Wed 9 Sep Sporting Cp crestat Sporting Cp 1-3 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Lille v Galatasaray: the numbers

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Lille crestLilleGalatasaray crestGalatasaray 34League position35 0-0-2League record, won-drawn-lost0-0-2 2-6Goals for and against2-7 0-0-1Home record v away record0-0-1 1.00Scored a game1.00 3.00Conceded a game3.50 38%Clean sheets22% 29%Failed to score11% 38%Both teams scored67%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Lille v Galatasaray: head to head

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A first meeting: Lille and Galatasaray have not played each other in the record we hold.

Likely scorelines

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2-17% 2-27% 1-26% 3-15% 3-25% 2-35%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Lille vs Galatasaray: FAQs

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Lille vs Galatasaray prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Lille vs Galatasaray kick off?

Lille vs Galatasaray kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Champions League).

What are the best odds for Lille vs Galatasaray?

The best prices across the books we track: Lille 2.15, the draw 3.75, Galatasaray 3.20. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Lille vs Galatasaray?

Lille: Ethan Mbappe: suspended (3-match UEFA ban, red card vs Real Betis). Galatasaray: no absences found.

What form are Lille and Galatasaray in?

Lille have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (D L W L W L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Galatasaray have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L W L W L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 12.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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