Estrela crestCasa Pia crest

Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction

Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:30 Primeira Liga

Build this bet

1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Estrela crestEstrela 52% Draw 25% Casa Pia crestCasa Pia 23%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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A Primeira Liga meeting between Estrela (10th, 10 pts) and Casa Pia (17th, 4 pts).

The model says

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The call on this game Estrela to win
The best price 1.73Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.73

The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Estrela win 1.73 58%
Draw 3.50 29%
Casa Pia win 4.80 21%
Estrela or draw 1.18 85%
Casa Pia or draw 2.10 48%
Either side to win, no draw 1.29 78%
Over 2.5 goals 1.95 51%
Both teams to score 1.91 52%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

16 markets
Estrela or Casa Pia (double chance) William Hill 1.29
Estrela over 3.5 corners Betano 1.19
Casa Pia under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.29
Estrela under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.29
Estrela over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.28
Casa Pia over 2.5 corners Betano 1.28
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.31
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.40
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.42
Estrela over 4.5 corners Betano 1.44
Casa Pia under 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.45

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Away win 4.20 to 4.80 drifting, longer
Home win 1.85 to 1.70 shortening
Draw 3.30 to 3.50 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 2.00 to 1.95 shortening
Home or draw 1.20 to 1.18 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Estrela crestEstrela LLDWDW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 11 conceded.

Sun 11 Oct Arouca crestat Arouca 0-1 Lost
Sun 20 Sep Académico de Viseu crestv Académico de Viseu 0-2 Lost
Mon 14 Sep Rio Ave crestat Rio Ave 3-3 Drew
Thu 10 Sep Braga crestv Braga 2-1 Won
Sat 5 Sep FC Famalicao crestv FC Famalicao 2-2 Drew
Sun 30 Aug C D Nacional crestat C D Nacional 3-2 Won
Casa Pia crestCasa Pia LWLDLL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 3 scored, 9 conceded.

Sat 10 Oct Santa Clara crestv Santa Clara 0-1 Lost
Sun 20 Sep Estoril crestat Estoril 2-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep FC Porto crestv FC Porto 1-4 Lost
Sun 6 Sep Vitoria De Guimaraes crestat Vitoria De Guimaraes 0-0 Drew
Sun 30 Aug Moreirense crestv Moreirense 0-1 Lost
Mon 24 Aug Gil Vicente crestat Gil Vicente 0-2 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Estrela v Casa Pia: the numbers

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Estrela crestEstrelaCasa Pia crestCasa Pia 10League position17 2-4-2League record, won-drawn-lost1-1-6 14-15Goals for and against3-17 10Points4 1-2-1Home record v away record1-1-2 1.80Scored a game0.40 1.90Conceded a game2.10 7%Clean sheets12% 25%Failed to score75% 60%Both teams scored33% 25%Over 2.5 goals0%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Estrela v Casa Pia: head to head

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Estrela won 5 1 draw Casa Pia won 4
2.8 goals a game 4/10 both scored 5/10 over 2.5
18 Jul 2026 Estrela crestCasa Pia crestEstrela v Casa Pia 1-2
20 Mar 2026 Estrela crestCasa Pia crestEstrela v Casa Pia 4-0
1 Nov 2025 Casa Pia crestEstrela crestCasa Pia v Estrela 3-5
9 Feb 2025 Casa Pia crestEstrela crestCasa Pia v Estrela 1-0
31 Aug 2024 Estrela crestCasa Pia crestEstrela v Casa Pia 0-1
8 Mar 2024 Estrela crestCasa Pia crestEstrela v Casa Pia 3-1
8 Oct 2023 Casa Pia crestEstrela crestCasa Pia v Estrela 0-1
15 Jul 2023 Estrela crestCasa Pia crestEstrela v Casa Pia 1-1
23 Apr 2022 Casa Pia crestEstrela crestCasa Pia v Estrela 3-0
13 Dec 2021 Estrela crestCasa Pia crestEstrela v Casa Pia 1-0

Estrela vs Casa Pia: FAQs

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Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Estrela to win at 1.73. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Estrela vs Casa Pia kick off?

Estrela vs Casa Pia kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:30 UK time (Primeira Liga).

What are the best odds for Estrela vs Casa Pia?

The best prices across the books we track: Estrela 1.73, the draw 3.50, Casa Pia 4.80. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Estrela and Casa Pia in?

Estrela have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L L D W D W, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 11. Casa Pia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L W L D L L, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 9.

What is the head to head between Estrela and Casa Pia?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Estrela won 5, Casa Pia won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 18 Jul 2026, finished Estrela 1-2 Casa Pia.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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