Liverpool crestBrighton crest

Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 Premier League

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1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Liverpool crestLiverpool 46% Draw 26% Brighton crestBrighton 28%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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A Premier League clash between two sides separated by just 2 places in the table. Liverpool (5th, 12 pts) and Brighton (3rd, 13 pts) both have plenty to play for.

A razor-thin margin: Liverpool at 46%, but the draw sits at 26%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

The model says

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The call on this game Liverpool or Draw
The best price 1.33William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.33

3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Liverpool win 46% 2.00 50%
Draw 26% 3.70 27%
Brighton win 28% 3.30 30%
Liverpool or draw 75% 1.33 75%
Brighton or draw 58% 1.80 56%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 63% 1.62 62%
Both teams to score 60% 1.55 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

13 markets
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Over 2 goals Pinnacle 1.26
Brighton under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.22
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.28
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.28
Liverpool or Brighton (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Liverpool under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Brighton over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Liverpool over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.25
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.26
Liverpool or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.33
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.55

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Over 2.5 goals 1.57 to 1.62 drifting, longer
Under 2.5 goals 2.43 to 2.36 shortening
Draw 3.80 to 3.70 shortening
Away win 3.25 to 3.20 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Liverpool crestLiverpool WWLWWD

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 8 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Brentford crestat Brentford 2-1 Won
Wed 14 Oct Lask Linz crestat Lask Linz 6-3 Won
Sun 11 Oct Manchester City crestv Manchester City 0-3 Lost
Sun 20 Sep AFC Bournemouth crestat AFC Bournemouth 1-0 Won
Tue 15 Sep Tottenham Hotspur crestv Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Fulham crestv Fulham 0-0 Drew
Brighton crestBrighton WWWWWD

Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost. 18 scored, 3 conceded.

Thu 15 Oct Kauno Zalgiris crestv Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct Sunderland crestat Sunderland 2-0 Won
Sat 19 Sep Arsenal crestv Arsenal 3-0 Won
Wed 16 Sep Manchester United crestat Manchester United 3-2 Won
Sun 13 Sep Coventry City crestat Coventry City 5-0 Won
Sat 5 Sep Leeds United crestv Leeds United 1-1 Drew

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Liverpool v Brighton: the numbers

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Liverpool crestLiverpoolBrighton crestBrighton 5League position3 3-3-1League record, won-drawn-lost4-1-1 9-8Goals for and against18-5 12Points13 0-2-1Home record v away record2-0-1 1.29Scored a game3.00 1.14Conceded a game0.83 1.55xG for a game2.15 26%Clean sheets26% 11%Failed to score24% 68%Both teams scored55%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Liverpool v Brighton: head to head

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Liverpool won 5 1 draw Brighton won 4
3.4 goals a game 7/10 both scored 9/10 over 2.5
21 Mar 2026 Brighton crestLiverpool crestBrighton v Liverpool 2-1
14 Feb 2026 Liverpool crestBrighton crestLiverpool v Brighton 3-0
13 Dec 2025 Liverpool crestBrighton crestLiverpool v Brighton 2-0
19 May 2025 Brighton crestLiverpool crestBrighton v Liverpool 3-2
2 Nov 2024 Liverpool crestBrighton crestLiverpool v Brighton 2-1
30 Oct 2024 Brighton crestLiverpool crestBrighton v Liverpool 2-3
31 Mar 2024 Liverpool crestBrighton crestLiverpool v Brighton 2-1
8 Oct 2023 Brighton crestLiverpool crestBrighton v Liverpool 2-2
29 Jan 2023 Brighton crestLiverpool crestBrighton v Liverpool 2-1
14 Jan 2023 Brighton crestLiverpool crestBrighton v Liverpool 3-0

Likely scorelines

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2-15% 3-22% 3-12%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Liverpool vs Brighton: FAQs

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Liverpool vs Brighton prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Liverpool or Draw at 1.33. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Liverpool vs Brighton kick off?

Liverpool vs Brighton kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Liverpool vs Brighton?

The best prices across the books we track: Liverpool 2.00, the draw 3.70, Brighton 3.30. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Liverpool and Brighton in?

Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W L W W D, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 8. Brighton have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W W D, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 3.

What is the head to head between Liverpool and Brighton?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Liverpool won 5, Brighton won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 21 Mar 2026, finished Brighton 2-1 Liverpool.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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