Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 Premier League1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Bournemouth 43%
Draw 26%
Sunderland 32%
The read
The deskBournemouth are mid-table strugglers at home who draw more than they win, and Sunderland arrive with three regulars missing and two more doubtful, including both senior forwards. That tilts this towards a shorthanded away side struggling to create, while Bournemouth's own patchy home form keeps it scrappy rather than one-sided.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeBournemouthAlex Scott: out · Eli Kroupi: out · Julian Araujo: out · Justin Kluivert: out · Veljko Milosavljevic: out · Amine Adli: out
SunderlandBrian Brobbey: out · Romaine Mundle: out · Dan Ballard: out (hamstring) · Thomas Meunier: doubt · Mouhamadou Habib Diarra: doubt · Wilson Isidor: fitness doubt
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 06:37.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProModel rates this 63% @1.66, but Sunderland's front line is hit hardest of anyone on this card: Brobbey and Mundle both out, and Isidor could not be used through injury against Brighton on Oct 10. A side missing three attacking options is less likely to supply the away goal BTTS needs.
“A shorthanded Sunderland attack travels to a Bournemouth side that draws more than it wins at home”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 43% | 2.10 | 48% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 | 29% |
| Sunderland win | 32% | 3.50 | 29% |
| Bournemouth or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 77% |
| Sunderland or draw | 58% | 1.73 | 58% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.91 | 52% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | 59% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
20 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBournemouth
WLLWDW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 12 scored, 9 conceded.
v SK Sturm Graz
3-0
Won
at Chelsea
1-5
Lost
v Liverpool
0-1
Lost
at Real Sociedad
2-1
Won
v Brentford
2-2
Drew
v Lincoln City
4-0
Won
Sunderland
WLLWLW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 10 conceded.
at Torreense
2-1
Won
v Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Lost
at Manchester City
3-5
Lost
v AZ Alkmaar
1-0
Won
v Arsenal
0-2
Lost
v Hull City
1-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Bournemouth v Sunderland: the numbers
Always freeBournemouthSunderland
19League position18
0-3-3League record, won-drawn-lost1-1-4
7-13Goals for and against6-12
3Points4
0-2-1Home record v away record0-1-2
1.17Scored a game1.00
2.17Conceded a game2.00
1.35xG for a game1.75
29%Clean sheets29%
18%Failed to score34%
66%Both teams scored47%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Bournemouth v Sunderland: head to head
Always freeBournemouth v Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland v Bournemouth
3-2
Sunderland v Bournemouth
0-1
Bournemouth v Sunderland
1-2
Sunderland v Bournemouth
1-1
Bournemouth v Sunderland
2-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: FAQs
Always freeBournemouth vs Sunderland prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.30. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Bournemouth vs Sunderland kick off?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Premier League).
What are the best odds for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The best prices across the books we track: Bournemouth 2.10, the draw 3.40, Sunderland 3.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Bournemouth: Alex Scott: out, Eli Kroupi: out, Julian Araujo: out, Justin Kluivert: out, Veljko Milosavljevic: out, Amine Adli: out. Sunderland: Brian Brobbey: out, Romaine Mundle: out, Dan Ballard: out (hamstring), Thomas Meunier: doubt, Mouhamadou Habib Diarra: doubt, Wilson Isidor: fitness doubt.
What form are Bournemouth and Sunderland in?
Bournemouth have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W L L W D W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 9. Sunderland have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L L W L W, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 10.
What is the head to head between Bournemouth and Sunderland?
In their last 6 meetings on our record, Bournemouth won 2, Sunderland won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 28 Feb 2026, finished Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.