Bayern München vs Arsenal Prediction
Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00 Champions League1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Bayern München 38%
Draw 24%
Arsenal 38%
The read
The deskBayern are flying at home and Arsenal arrive on a strong run of their own, so neither side looks fragile walking in here. History leans oddly toward the visitors though, with six away wins from the last ten meetings, which should make anyone backing Bayern to simply win pause before trusting the obvious form read.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProThe obvious read, Bayern are 5 for 5 at home and unbeaten in 5 overall, ignores that Arsenal have won 6 of the last 10 h2h meetings to Bayern's 1 (3 draws), and that Arsenal's own away form is 4 wins from 5. Bayern sit 10th domestically, Arsenal 7th, so neither arrives dominant outside Europe either.
“Form favours both sides, but history and table position say this is close, not a Bayern certainty.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München win | 38% | 2.10 | 48% |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 | 27% |
| Arsenal win | 38% | 3.20 | 31% |
| Bayern München or draw | 74% | 1.36 | 74% |
| Arsenal or draw | 59% | 1.70 | 59% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.28 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.62 | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 1.53 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
15 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBayern München
WDDWWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost. 25 scored, 7 conceded.
v RB Leipzig
6-1
Won
at Viking FK
3-3
Drew
at FC Augsburg
2-2
Drew
v 1. FC Union Berlin
7-0
Won
at SV Elversberg
2-1
Won
v Bodo/Glimt
5-0
Won
Arsenal
WWWLWW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 6 conceded.
at Nottingham Forest
1-0
Won
v Lille
3-0
Won
v Leeds United
2-1
Won
at Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3
Lost
at Ipswich Town
4-2
Won
at Sunderland
2-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Bayern München v Arsenal: the numbers
Always freeBayern MünchenArsenal
10League position7
1-1-0League record, won-drawn-lost2-0-0
8-3Goals for and against4-0
4Points6
1-0-0Home record v away record1-0-0
4.00Scored a game2.00
1.50Conceded a game0.70
3.50xG for a game1.71
35%Clean sheets50%
5%Failed to score8%
65%Both teams scored47%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Bayern München v Arsenal: head to head
Always freeArsenal v Bayern München
3-1
Bayern Munich v Arsenal
1-0
Arsenal v Bayern Munich
2-2
Arsenal v Bayern Munich
2-1
Bayern Munich v Arsenal
1-1
Arsenal v Bayern Munich
1-5
Bayern Munich v Arsenal
5-1
Bayern Munich v Arsenal
5-1
Arsenal v Bayern Munich
2-0
Bayern Munich v Arsenal
1-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Bayern München vs Arsenal: FAQs
Always freeBayern München vs Arsenal prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Bayern München or Draw at 1.36. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Bayern München vs Arsenal kick off?
Bayern München vs Arsenal kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).
What are the best odds for Bayern München vs Arsenal?
The best prices across the books we track: Bayern München 2.10, the draw 3.75, Arsenal 3.20. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Bayern München and Arsenal in?
Bayern München have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W D D W W W, newest first), scoring 25 and conceding 7. Arsenal have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W W L W W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 6.
What is the head to head between Bayern München and Arsenal?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Bayern München won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 26 Nov 2025, finished Arsenal 3-1 Bayern München.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.