Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45 Europa League1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Ararat-Armenia 19%
Draw 23%
AZ Alkmaar 58%
The read
The deskArarat-Armenia have won four of their last five at home, but their season form is shaky and the book still caps their scoring well below AZ Alkmaar's. AZ's away form is mixed rather than dominant, so the smart read here is goals and a visiting side nudging it rather than a home shock.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe pull here is Ararat's hot home run, 4 wins in their last 5 at home (L W W W W), but their overall form is just 1 win in 5 (L L W D L) and the book's own team-total specials cap them under 2.0 goals at 96% implied (1.04, Marathon Bet) and under 2.5 at 98% (1.06, Bet365). A side projected to score at most one goal most games is not winning outright against the stronger side.
“Ararat's hot home run meets a sharper AZ side; goals look likelier than a home upset”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia win | 5.75 | 17% | |
| Draw | 4.33 | 23% | |
| AZ Alkmaar win | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Ararat-Armenia or draw | 2.45 | 41% | |
| AZ Alkmaar or draw | 1.14 | 88% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.20 | 83% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 64% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 | 59% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
20 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeArarat-Armenia
LLWDLW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 6 scored, 11 conceded.
at Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-3
Lost
v Sparta Praha
1-4
Lost
v Universitatea Craiova
1-0
Won
at Universitatea Craiova
1-1
Drew
at NK Celje
0-2
Lost
v NK Celje
2-1
Won
AZ Alkmaar
DWLWLD
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 6 scored, 7 conceded.
at SC Cambuur
2-2
Drew
v Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
Won
at Feyenoord Rotterdam
0-2
Lost
v Telstar
1-0
Won
at Sunderland
0-1
Lost
v Willem II
1-1
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar: the numbers
Always freeArarat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar
34League position20
1-1-2League record, won-drawn-lost1-0-1
4-8Goals for and against2-2
0Points3
1-0-1Home record v away record0-0-1
1.00Scored a game1.00
2.00Conceded a game1.00
25%Clean sheets32%
10%Failed to score50%
60%Both teams scored53%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: Ararat-Armenia and AZ Alkmaar have not played each other in the record we hold.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: FAQs
Always freeArarat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is AZ Alkmaar to win at 1.53. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar kick off?
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
The best prices across the books we track: Ararat-Armenia 5.75, the draw 4.33, AZ Alkmaar 1.53. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Ararat-Armenia and AZ Alkmaar in?
Ararat-Armenia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L W D L W, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 11. AZ Alkmaar have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D W L W L D, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 7.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew
1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fiorentina v Como
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fluminense v Santos
2.00
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.