San Jose Earthquakes crestNashville SC crest

San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 03:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Nashville SC or draw

    74% the model

    Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.35 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land
1.44

Built from the bookmakers' prices for San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC, 69% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.27 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.62 +
  • San Jose Earthquakes or Draw Double Chance 55% 1.83 +
  • Nashville SC Away Win 53% 1.91 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • P. Judd San Jose Earthquakes
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Judd: 1.37 shots on target a game over 27 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Surridge Nashville SC
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Surridge: 1.52 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Mukhtar Nashville SC
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Mukhtar: 1.31 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • O. Bouda San Jose Earthquakes
    Shots on target 1+

    O. Bouda: 0.64 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Judd San Jose Earthquakes
    Shots on target 2+

    P. Judd: 1.37 shots on target a game over 27 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Beau Leroux San Jose Earthquakes
    Shots on target 1+

    Beau Leroux: 0.46 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Surridge Nashville SC
    Shots on target 2+

    S. Surridge: 1.52 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Espinoza Nashville SC
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Espinoza: 0.56 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Espinoza Nashville SC
    Anytime assist

    C. Espinoza on 0.48 assists/match (25 apps, 69 key passes), match xG 2.66

  • S. Surridge Nashville SC
    Anytime scorer

    S. Surridge: 0.74 goals a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 0.80 a game

  • N. Tsakiris San Jose Earthquakes
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Tsakiris: 0.42 shots on target a game over 19 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Judd San Jose Earthquakes
    Anytime scorer

    P. Judd: 0.56 goals a game over 27 games, home against a side conceding 0.80 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 48%
    Corners: San Jose Earthquakes avg 5.1 for/3.9 against, Nashville SC avg 5.0 for/3.0 against so expected 8.5 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: San Jose Earthquakes avg 5.1 for/3.9 against, Nashville SC avg 5.0 for/3.0 against so expected 8.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 46%
    Cards: San Jose Earthquakes avg 2.5/game, Nashville SC avg 1.0/game so expected 3.5 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: San Jose Earthquakes avg 2.5/game, Nashville SC avg 1.0/game so expected 3.5 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 49%
    Fouls: San Jose Earthquakes avg 13.0/game, Nashville SC avg 11.5/game so expected 24.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%
    Fouls: San Jose Earthquakes avg 13.0/game, Nashville SC avg 11.5/game so expected 24.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 57%
    Shots: San Jose Earthquakes avg 14.3/game, Nashville SC avg 13.4/game so expected 27.6 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: San Jose Earthquakes avg 14.3/game, Nashville SC avg 13.4/game so expected 27.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 12.5 corners 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • San Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • San Jose Earthquakes under 2 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Nashville SC or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 5 cards 78% market Pinnacle
    1.29 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.