Coritiba crestGremio crest

Coritiba v Gremio bet builder

Monday 26 October 2026, 22:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Gremio or draw

    58% the model

    Our board prices this at 58%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.71 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 45% chance all land
2.25

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Coritiba v Gremio, 45% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.28 +
  • Coritiba or Draw Double Chance 75% 1.31 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Pedro Rocha Coritiba
    Shots on target 1+

    Pedro Rocha: 0.86 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Carlos Vinícius Gremio
    Shots on target 1+

    Carlos Vinícius: 0.86 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Breno Lopes Coritiba
    Shots on target 1+

    Breno Lopes: 0.54 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Lucas Ronier Coritiba
    Shots on target 1+

    Lucas Ronier: 0.50 shots on target a game over 18 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Tetê Gremio
    Shots on target 1+

    Tetê: 0.54 shots on target a game over 24 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Pedro Gabriel Gremio
    To be carded

    Pedro Gabriel (Defender) on 0.44 yellows/match (16 apps), pos-mult 1.10

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: Coritiba avg 4.1 for/6.1 against, Gremio avg 4.1 for/4.0 against so expected 9.1 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Coritiba avg 4.1 for/6.1 against, Gremio avg 4.1 for/4.0 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 38%
    Cards: Coritiba avg 1.6/game, Gremio avg 2.4/game so expected 4.0 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 77%
    Cards: Coritiba avg 1.6/game, Gremio avg 2.4/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 47%
    Fouls: Coritiba avg 10.1/game, Gremio avg 12.1/game so expected 22.3 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Coritiba avg 10.1/game, Gremio avg 12.1/game so expected 22.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 48%
    Shots: Coritiba avg 12.9/game, Gremio avg 13.4/game so expected 26.4 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 77%
    Shots: Coritiba avg 12.9/game, Gremio avg 13.4/game so expected 26.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Coritiba over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Coritiba under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Coritiba or Draw (double chance) 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Coritiba or Gremio (double chance) 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Gremio under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Gremio over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.