Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 03:00 A-League1146 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Wellington Phoenix 26%
Draw 28%
Melbourne Victory 47%
The read
The deskMelbourne Victory arrive on the stronger recent away run and hold a clear head-to-head advantage at this ground, while Wellington Phoenix's home form has flipped from win to loss across each of its last four matches. Expect goals at both ends in a result-driven game rather than a backs-to-the-wall shutout.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProH2H has Phoenix on just 3 wins and 2 draws from 10 against Victory's 5; Phoenix's last four home are L W L W, including a loss two matches back, while Victory's last two away are W D, its better recent form.
“Market favours Victory's grinding away form over Phoenix's erratic home record, with history backing it.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix win | 3.25 | 31% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 27% | |
| Melbourne Victory win | 2.15 | 47% | |
| Wellington Phoenix or draw | 1.70 | 59% | |
| Melbourne Victory or draw | 1.35 | 74% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 62% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
20 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeWellington Phoenix
LWLW
Last 4, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 3 scored, 7 conceded.
at Macarthur FC
0-4
Lost
v Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1
Won
at Melbourne City FC
0-2
Lost
at Melbourne Victory
1-0
Won
Melbourne Victory
LWDDL
Last 5, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 6 scored, 6 conceded.
v Sydney FC
0-1
Lost
at Western Sydney Wanderers
2-0
Won
v Newcastle Jets
2-2
Drew
at Auckland FC
2-2
Drew
v Wellington Phoenix FC
0-1
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory: the numbers
Always freeWellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
8League position9
0.75Scored a game1.20
1.75Conceded a game1.20
25%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score40%
25%Both teams scored40%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory: head to head
Always freeMelbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix
0-1
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
2-3
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix
5-1
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
2-3
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
1-0
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
1-2
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix
0-0
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
1-0
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
1-1
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: FAQs
Always freeWellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.62. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory kick off?
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:00 UK time (A-League).
What are the best odds for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?
The best prices across the books we track: Wellington Phoenix 3.25, the draw 3.70, Melbourne Victory 2.15. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in?
Wellington Phoenix have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 (L W L W, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Melbourne Victory have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 (L W D D L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 6.
What is the head to head between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Wellington Phoenix won 3, Melbourne Victory won 5 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 5 Apr 2026, finished Melbourne Victory 0-1 Wellington Phoenix.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.