FIFA World Cup predictions
Our singles, all leagues: 34 graded, 20 landedThe FIFA World Cup season is done. Predictions return when fixtures are published.
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About FIFA World Cup predictions
World Cup predictions sit on a knife edge between absurd public bias and genuinely-strong underlying-numbers data. Every match in the tournament has full xG coverage, every starting XI is announced with a full press cycle, but the public is buying with the heart. Major-name nations draw the public's money as favourites even when our model has them as marginal. We split the group stage and knockouts: in the group, our model bias is towards the unders market (cagey openings, tactical caution) and the lesser-named nation cover. In the knockouts, defensive setups tighten further. Below: every confirmed World Cup fixture with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page includes the bookmaker odds comparison, head-to-head record and recent form. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
End-of-season form
How every team finished, last 5 league results per team from the season just completed. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
FIFA World Cup by market
How often each market has landed in the FIFA World Cup, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
FIFA World Cup 2026/27 predictions
Our AI model logs every pick before kick-off with a public, verified record, 1148 settled predictions graded win or loss. That record is historical and does not predict future results.
Rated FIFA World Cup predictions return here the moment the new season is priced. Follow your team now and we will email our model read on their first game.
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The model's calls, final results of the season
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul |
 
Spain
v
Argentina
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 20 Jul |
Spain
v
Argentina
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 19 Jul |
 
France
v
England
Home/Away
|
Home/Away | 4-6 | Won |
| 19 Jul |
France
v
England
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 4-6 | Lost |
| 12 Jul |
Norway
v
England
Home/Away
|
Home/Away | 1-2 | Won |
| 11 Jul |
Spain
v
Belgium
Home/Away
|
Home/Away | 2-1 | Won |
| 5 Jul |
Paraguay
v
France
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 4 Jul |
Argentina
v
Cape Verde Islands
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 3-2 | Won |
| 2 Jul |
Belgium
v
Senegal
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 3-2 | Won |
| 1 Jul |
England
v
Congo DR
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 29 Jun |
 
South Africa
v
Canada
Home/Away
|
Home/Away | 0-1 | Won |
| 29 Jun |
South Africa
v
Canada
Away win
|
Away win | 0-1 | Won |
| 28 Jun |
 
Algeria
v
Austria
Double chance away draw
|
Double chance away draw | 3-3 | Won |
| 28 Jun |
 
Colombia
v
Portugal
Home/Away
|
Home/Away | 0-0 | Lost |
| 28 Jun |
Congo DR
v
Uzbekistan
Home win
|
Home win | 3-1 | Won |
FIFA World Cup predictions: FAQ
How accurate are your World Cup predictions?
Every World Cup call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page. The World Cup runs only every four years.
How does your World Cup model differ from club football?
Every World Cup match has full xG coverage and confirmed starting XIs, but the public is buying with the heart. Major-name nations draw the public's money as favourites. We split group-stage and knockout regimes.
Which World Cup market is most reliable?
Under 2.5 in the group stage has historically delivered our steadier hit rate: cagey openings and tactical caution from teams not yet through means goals expectancy is over-rated by the public.
Are knockout-stage predictions easier than the group stage?
Statistically the knockout stage is harder to model because tactical setups tighten further and the underdog cover rate increases. We're more cautious with short-priced calls in the knockouts.
Do you cover qualifiers and warm-up friendlies?
Qualifiers are covered on their own predictions page. Friendlies are not part of our coverage.
Do you publish World Cup tips?
The model's call on every World Cup fixture is free on its match page, and FBB Pro's singles include a World Cup game only when it passes all three checks.
FIFA World Cup Betting Tips & Predictions
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce FIFA World Cup predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Pro
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
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