Espanyol 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Our call before kick-off

Logged before kick-off at the price shown and graded from the final score. Every call is on the track record, wins and losses alike.

How the game went

One goal short. The game had 29 shots, 8 on target and 2.0 xG between them: the chances came, the second goal did not. Going in, the two sides' recent form pointed to about 2.7 goals, with two or more the likelier outcome.

Match stats

Espanyol		Atletico Madrid
10	Shots	19
2	Shots on target	6
4	Corners	12
10	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
0.61	Expected goals (xG)	1.41

Our read before the game

Espanyol without Kike Garcia, weak home form, and Atletico's h2h advantage point one way, cheaply

Espanyol are without first-choice striker Kike Garcia and have won only once in their last five at home, while Atletico have lost just once in ten meetings with this opponent. That points toward goals and an Atletico result, but the cleanest prices on that read, like the double chance at 1.23, are too short to carry much on their own.

Written Wed 14 Oct, about 82 hours before kick-off, and left as it was.