Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense Sc

Our call before kick-off

The model did not publish a free call on this game.

Our read before the game

Botafogo's H2H advantage and Chapecoense's bottom-table away form carry this, not Botafogo's shaky home run.

Botafogo are heavy favourites at home on a head to head record that runs seven wins from the last ten meetings, but their own recent home form is ordinary rather than convincing. Chapecoense arrive bottom of the table with barely a away win to their name, and that does more of the work here than anything Botafogo have shown lately.

Written Wed 14 Oct, about 72 hours before kick-off, and left as it was.