Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45 Europa League1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Lech Poznan 17%
Draw 24%
Sunderland 59%
The read
The deskLech have won four of their last five at home while Sunderland have managed only one win in their last five on the road, a form gap that cuts hard against the table positions suggesting an easy away night. Expect goals in this one rather than a tidy underdog shutout, with Lech staying unbeaten a safer read than Sunderland forcing the win.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProThe trap: Sunderland 9th against Lech 36th reads like a formality at 1.62. But Lech's last 5 at home is W L W W W, 4 wins and 1 loss, while Sunderland's last 5 away is L W L D L, just 1 win and 1 draw in five. The venue form directly contradicts the table gap.
No clean scoring split in the pack to separate these sides: team_totals_home Under 1.5 is implied 80+% (@1.22, Bet365), meaning Lech scoring even once isn't assured, while team_totals_away Over 0.5 is implied 80+% (@1.14, Bet365) for Sunderland. There's no team_totals_home Over line in the pack to confirm Lech score at all.
“Lech's home form says stay unbeaten; Sunderland's away win looks shorter than the evidence.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan win | 5.25 | 19% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 25% | |
| Sunderland win | 1.62 | 62% | |
| Lech Poznan or draw | 2.30 | 43% | |
| Sunderland or draw | 1.18 | 85% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 56% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 | 52% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
16 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeLech Poznan
WLWWLL
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 16 scored, 13 conceded.
v Korona Kielce
6-1
Won
v Bayer Leverkusen
0-4
Lost
at Slask Wroclaw
4-1
Won
v Radomiak Radom
5-1
Won
at Crystal Palace
0-4
Lost
at Gornik Zabrze
1-2
Lost
Sunderland
LWLLWL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. 6 scored, 12 conceded.
at AFC Bournemouth
0-2
Lost
at Torreense
2-1
Won
v Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Lost
at Manchester City
3-5
Lost
v AZ Alkmaar
1-0
Won
v Arsenal
0-2
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Lech Poznan v Sunderland: the numbers
Always freeLech PoznanSunderland
36League position9
3-1-2League record, won-drawn-lost2-0-0
15-10Goals for and against3-1
0Points6
2-0-1Home record v away record1-0-0
2.50Scored a game1.50
1.70Conceded a game0.50
50%Clean sheets50%
33%Failed to score29%
54%Both teams scored47%
33%Over 2.5 goals0%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Lech Poznan v Sunderland: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: Lech Poznan and Sunderland have not played each other in the record we hold.
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: FAQs
Always freeLech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.80. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kick off?
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
The best prices across the books we track: Lech Poznan 5.25, the draw 4.00, Sunderland 1.62. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Lech Poznan and Sunderland in?
Lech Poznan have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L W W L L, newest first), scoring 16 and conceding 13. Sunderland have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L W L L W L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 12.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.