Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 02:00 Liga MX1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Puebla 21%
Draw 27%
Monterrey 52%
The read
The deskPuebla and Monterrey arrive mid-table and short on form, with three draws in their last ten meetings and Puebla drawing three of their last five at home. Expect a cagey, low-event night where a draw-inclusive result and a capped goal total carry more weight than either side forcing a win.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProBoth sides are in draw-heavy, low-win stretches (Puebla D D L D L, Monterrey D L W D L) that point to tight, low-event matches rather than games where both ends find the net; this price band has been poor for us before, 1.50 to 1.74 BTTS yes bets won only 36.8 percent against a required 61.4.
This line needs a winner and nothing else, but draws are exactly what this fixture keeps producing, 3 of the last 10 meetings and 3 of Puebla's last 5 at home; a short price on 'anyone but a draw' is the trap here.
“Two mid-table sides low on form and goals, draws are the recent story here, not a winner”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla win | 3.60 | 28% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% | |
| Monterrey win | 1.95 | 51% | |
| Puebla or draw | 1.80 | 56% | |
| Monterrey or draw | 1.33 | 75% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 56% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
12 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freePuebla
DDLDLW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 3 scored, 4 conceded.
at Tijuana
0-0
Drew
v Leon
1-1
Drew
at Tigres Uanl
0-1
Lost
v Atlante
1-1
Drew
v Toluca
0-1
Lost
at Necaxa
1-0
Won
Monterrey
WDLWDL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 7 scored, 9 conceded.
v Pachuca
2-1
Won
at América
1-1
Drew
at Atlante
2-4
Lost
v Cruz Azul
1-0
Won
v Tigres UANL
0-0
Drew
v Atlético de San Luis
1-3
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Puebla v Monterrey: the numbers
Always freePueblaMonterrey
11League position12
4-4-4League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-4
12-13Goals for and against17-15
16Points14
1-3-1Home record v away record1-1-3
1.00Scored a game1.70
1.10Conceded a game1.50
25%Clean sheets30%
33%Failed to score20%
53%Both teams scored63%
17%Over 2.5 goals20%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Puebla v Monterrey: head to head
Always freeMonterrey v Puebla
2-1
Puebla v Monterrey
2-4
Monterrey v Puebla
1-1
Puebla v Monterrey
1-2
Monterrey v Puebla
2-0
Puebla v Monterrey
1-1
Puebla v Monterrey
1-2
Monterrey v Puebla
1-0
Puebla v Monterrey
1-0
Monterrey v Puebla
1-1
Puebla vs Monterrey: FAQs
Always freePuebla vs Monterrey prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Monterrey to win at 1.95. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Puebla vs Monterrey kick off?
Puebla vs Monterrey kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 02:00 UK time (Liga MX).
What are the best odds for Puebla vs Monterrey?
The best prices across the books we track: Puebla 3.60, the draw 3.60, Monterrey 1.95. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Puebla and Monterrey in?
Puebla have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D D L D L W, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Monterrey have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W D L W D L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 9.
What is the head to head between Puebla and Monterrey?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Puebla won 1, Monterrey won 6 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 22 Apr 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Puebla.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
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1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
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1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
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Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fluminense v Santos
2.00
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.