Monza crestNapoli crest

Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 Serie A

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Monza crestMonza 18% Draw 27% Napoli crestNapoli 55%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Monza (15th, 4 pts) host Napoli (9th, 10 pts) in the Serie A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.

Napoli shade it at 55%, though Monza won't be pushovers. If you're building an acca, backing Napoli with your stake back if it's a draw is the safer option.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.22Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Monza win 18% 4.20 24%
Draw 27% 3.60 28%
Napoli win 55% 1.83 55%
Monza or draw 52% 1.95 51%
Napoli or draw 77% 1.22 82%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 59% 1.73 58%
Both teams to score 58% 1.65 61%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Napoli or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.22
Napoli over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.26
Monza or Napoli (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Napoli under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.30
Over 2 goals Betano 1.35
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.33
Monza under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Monza over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Over 2.5 goals 1.79 to 1.73 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Monza crestMonza LWLDLL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 9 scored, 15 conceded.

Sun 11 Oct Lazio crestat Lazio 1-3 Lost
Fri 18 Sep Sassuolo crestv Sassuolo 2-1 Won
Sun 13 Sep Lecce crestat Lecce 2-3 Lost
Sun 6 Sep Parma crestat Parma 1-1 Drew
Sat 29 Aug Udinese crestv Udinese 2-3 Lost
Sat 22 Aug Internazionale crestat Internazionale 1-4 Lost
Napoli crestNapoli LLWDWL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 6 scored, 6 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Venezia crestat Venezia 0-1 Lost
Tue 13 Oct Villarreal crestat Villarreal 1-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Frosinone crestv Frosinone 3-0 Won
Sun 20 Sep Fiorentina crestat Fiorentina 1-1 Drew
Sun 13 Sep Bologna crestv Bologna 1-0 Won
Wed 9 Sep Arsenal crestv Arsenal 0-1 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Monza v Napoli: the numbers

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Monza crestMonzaNapoli crestNapoli 15League position9 1-1-4League record, won-drawn-lost3-1-3 9-15Goals for and against10-7 4Points10 1-0-1Home record v away record1-1-2 1.50Scored a game1.43 2.50Conceded a game1.00 1.80xG for a game2.00 25%Clean sheets39% 6%Failed to score21% 69%Both teams scored47%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Monza v Napoli: head to head

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Monza won 1 1 draw Napoli won 4
2.5 goals a game 1/6 both scored 2/6 over 2.5
19 Apr 2025 Monza crestNapoli crestMonza v Napoli 0-1
29 Sep 2024 Napoli crestMonza crestNapoli v Monza 2-0
7 Apr 2024 Monza crestNapoli crestMonza v Napoli 2-4
29 Dec 2023 Napoli crestMonza crestNapoli v Monza 0-0
14 May 2023 Monza crestNapoli crestMonza v Napoli 2-0
21 Aug 2022 Napoli crestMonza crestNapoli v Monza 4-0

Likely scorelines

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1-210% 1-36% 0-35% 2-34% 1-43% 0-42%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Monza vs Napoli: FAQs

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Monza vs Napoli prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Monza vs Napoli kick off?

Monza vs Napoli kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Serie A).

What are the best odds for Monza vs Napoli?

The best prices across the books we track: Monza 4.20, the draw 3.60, Napoli 1.83. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Monza and Napoli in?

Monza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L W L D L L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 15. Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L W D W L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 6.

What is the head to head between Monza and Napoli?

In their last 6 meetings on our record, Monza won 1, Napoli won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 19 Apr 2025, finished Monza 0-1 Napoli.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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